Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin not meet?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90c6511dcc9499c2c58786a2456df333a87c97a9cf548acc26f3e4e56fbc36e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,070,646
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,017,878
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,070,646 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e7d…c0c1backed No | 38c | 103,800$39,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,350.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…19b8backed No | 37c | 101,200$37,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,342.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4936…d146backed No | 26c | 66,100$17,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,450.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x881d…6e3bbacked No | 30c | 56,200$16,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,635.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa20b…e4d1backed Yes | 61c | 27,200$16,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,608 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2f…179abacked Yes | 63c | 26,700$16,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,852.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…c494backed Yes | 64c | 26,600$16,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,655.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad30…6e8bbacked Yes | 63c | 26,250$16,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,686.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70c7…304bbacked Yes | 61c | 25,700$15,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,023 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc503…312abacked Yes | 70c | 24,650$17,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,296.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe28a…aef9backed Yes | 63c | 24,300$15,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,966.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…d45bbacked Yes | 63c | 24,300$15,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,063.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7364…de04backed Yes | 74c | 24,200$17,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,388.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…a61abacked Yes | 63c | 23,950$15,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,837.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc737…d217backed Yes | 70c | 22,600$15,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,689.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…6d7bbacked Yes | 74c | 21,450$15,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,662.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0811…bb04backed Yes | 74c | 20,450$15,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,398.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…9f22backed No | 1c | 15,280$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 1c | 15,213$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 10,577$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.33 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f24…0bd0backed No | 2c | 9,857$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade9…954abacked Yes | 70c | 8,950$6,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,649.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 7c | 6,894$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.57 | 57 | 22.8%13 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 13c | 5,897$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.86 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 1c | 5,763$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…8c30backed No | 0c | 5,020$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed No | 6c | 4,607$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.17 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 4c | 3,458$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 75 | 18.7%14 W · 61 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd49b…bdf9backed No | 9c | 3,378$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 32c | 3,362$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.02 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e3…aaf2backed Yes | 77c | 3,334$2,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 2,935$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.82 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 2,646$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.58 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 16c | 2,582$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.6 | 103 | 9.7%10 W · 93 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…27b9backed No | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 65c | 2,175$1,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.27 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked Yes | 17c | 2,079$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725.39 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 1c | 2,067$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 3c | 1,979$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.82 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 26c | 1,934$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63b8…7af5backed No | 6c | 1,686$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b2…7d94backed No | 1c | 1,665$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…64bbbacked Yes | 49c | 1,608$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.31 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…be75backed No | 1c | 1,545$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94a…0ff1backed No | 26c | 1,536$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.38 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 48c | 1,310$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.16 | 262 | 38.5%101 W · 161 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1baa…6eb3backed Yes | 12c | 1,300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 11cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 13c | 1,220$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.18 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a1a…be9fbacked No | 6c | 1,196$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a6…e375backed No | 8c | 1,181$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…4940backed No | 47c | 1,174$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed No | 27c | 1,159$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 4c | 1,106$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 130 | 2.3%3 W · 127 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…2c2dbacked No | 16c | 1,100$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353e…9db2backed No | 20c | 1,088$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 1c | 1,085$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 8c | 1,066$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.68 | 44 | 0%0 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 8c | 1,059$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…31b1backed No | 10c | 999.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…15dfbacked No | 10c | 999.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.52 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 10c | 980.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 4c | 979.98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 152 | 17.8%27 W · 125 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed Yes | 58c | 958.53$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.18 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 59c | 912.58$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.2 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9de…215bbacked No | 4c | 910$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8631…9a73backed Yes | 49c | 901.78$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.73 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 7c | 900.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.89 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…1388backed No | 5c | 874.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 71c | 834.76$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.59 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Yes | 61c | 827.99$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…c229backed No | 16c | 827.67$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…8d0dbacked Yes | 70c | 819.46$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed No | 25c | 808.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…eafebacked No | 4c | 788.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 12c | 768.53$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.42 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b6…7ffbbacked No | 5c | 761$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6fb…71efbacked No | 6c | 756$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…6397backed No | 13c | 755.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98ee…5e2bbacked No | 4c | 740.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 2c | 712.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed No | 14c | 700$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…4216backed Yes | 72c | 697.5$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 26c | 681.9$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…a04cbacked No | 41c | 664.65$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 17cpaid | +187.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 79c | 656.83$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.57 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefaa…8716backed Yes | 12c | 650$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +306.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b9…0aaebacked Yes | 12c | 650$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +306.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe64…190ebacked No | 30c | 645.1$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda81…ccdabacked No | 24c | 641.86$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb146…c098backed No | 15c | 636.05$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…f3eebacked Yes | 41c | 617.07$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.61 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7100…e693backed No | 18c | 609.98$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 4c | 605.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.81 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…edbdbacked No | 14c | 595.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff64…3d67backed Yes | 69c | 593.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…773bbacked No | 19c | 588.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0475…ed7abacked No | 24c | 553.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +316.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1e…08f0backed No | 11c | 547.36$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.