Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca2059450e49cc391ea49c5f205dce7f1a2af63b87d7a3156cd446592ebb7143
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $452,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,903
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 0c | 20,688$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.13 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 13,007$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,886$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a6…8651backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f8…8bacbacked Yes | 2c | 7,136$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…047bbacked Yes | 1c | 7,030$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0eecbacked Yes | 1c | 4,196$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4076…8400backed Yes | 1c | 4,057$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdde9…f432backed Yes | 1c | 2,748$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7254…1eabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,555$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf664…8679backed Yes | 2c | 2,470$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6993…c79abacked Yes | 0c | 2,350$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d1…b35cbacked Yes | 2c | 2,292$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…bf97backed Yes | 2c | 2,103$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…7af9backed Yes | 1c | 2,079$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…c229backed Yes | 1c | 2,023$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…2996backed Yes | 3c | 1,955$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0697…28afbacked Yes | 1c | 1,911$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…60a0backed Yes | 1c | 1,898$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…2089backed Yes | 3c | 1,879$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 1,876$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…b82ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,841$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 1,840$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997f…8716backed Yes | 3c | 1,752$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ee…6b69backed Yes | 1c | 1,718$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…ae27backed Yes | 1c | 1,715$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…73d2backed Yes | 1c | 1,701$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…1d7abacked Yes | 2c | 1,691$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…cc2ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,678$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…e20fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,669$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490d…b563backed Yes | 2c | 1,635$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec2…aacdbacked Yes | 1c | 1,630$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9d…aababacked Yes | 2c | 1,626$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc9…28e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,615$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…2c48backed Yes | 3c | 1,579$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x769b…939dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,576$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…d022backed Yes | 1c | 1,573$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d41…2dfabacked Yes | 1c | 1,454$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +365%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb1…3cf9backed Yes | 1c | 1,450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c59…06f6backed Yes | 1c | 1,426$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4e…3cc1backed Yes | 2c | 1,395$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03fb…2c6cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,284$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5af0…3621backed Yes | 3c | 1,255$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2122…ae6ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,252$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…7f28backed Yes | 3c | 1,242$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0242…0cebbacked Yes | 2c | 1,237$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb57…35d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,182$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 1c | 1,129$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0f5…950fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,102$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc16a…917bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,045$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…96b9backed Yes | 3c | 1,017$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…165fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,009$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16df…1b0bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb1…22f0backed Yes | 2c | 951.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 951.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 143 | 2.1%3 W · 140 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f2…ccddbacked Yes | 3c | 924.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ff…f3c0backed Yes | 3c | 851$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd006…5358backed Yes | 3c | 838$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…3bacbacked Yes | 3c | 767$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…1a5bbacked Yes | 2c | 714$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x599c…15d4backed Yes | 2c | 632.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69c9…ed1abacked Yes | 3c | 544$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 4c | 493.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0371…9821backed Yes | 2c | 440.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…f1c9backed Yes | 4c | 385.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.