TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$887,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$725,118

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $887,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d2e…9f22backed Yes0c15,200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c13,657$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6631.6%1 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c13,422$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…fe00backed Yes1c10,543$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes1c8,809$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.878224.4%20 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x455f…2f8abacked Yes1c8,340$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes1c8,200$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes3c7,125$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.055722.8%13 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes3c6,133$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.494920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19e9…aae5backed Yes0c5,445$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb75…27a3backed Yes1c5,201$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.86650%3 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+236.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c4,947$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.735327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e80…c229backed Yes5c4,578$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid-45.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb1…3cf9backed Yes4c4,516$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.5730%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a81…d324backed Yes5c4,382$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.73922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-66.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes1c3,681$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50d6…e63ebacked Yes4c3,342$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52a3…1db5backed Yes3c3,128$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…0299backed Yes5c3,069$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.626814.7%10 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3567…9d55backed Yes3c3,025$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x158a…c822backed Yes4c2,968$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c0a…643abacked Yes1c2,943$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.74240%0 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa571…2a23backed Yes3c2,916$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a83…a574backed Yes4c2,847$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x738f…74e4backed Yes4c2,751$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8b0…0326backed Yes3c2,729$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcec4…2771backed Yes3c2,650$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x402b…3f0cbacked Yes4c2,641$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5400…2a64backed Yes4c2,596$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef8b…afc2backed Yes3c2,571$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.1310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2e2…70d3backed Yes3c2,526$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf940…ccf1backed Yes4c2,476$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee7…f2b0backed Yes4c2,457$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x255a…d1aebacked Yes3c2,435$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes3c2,422$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.7612927.9%36 W · 93 L-0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb645…fbd7backed Yes3c2,415$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced9…ff9dbacked Yes4c2,360$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd796…7f23backed Yes7c2,276$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x343c…06f1backed Yes4c2,257$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b5f…b3e4backed Yes3c2,233$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…09abbacked Yes7c2,209$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd94d…73c9backed Yes4c2,200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…56f4backed Yes7c2,199$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64b…516dbacked Yes3c2,173$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f43…9b11backed Yes1c2,160$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11b1…9787backed Yes4c2,159$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes3c2,119$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.13432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1670…6940backed Yes3c2,117$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bd6…4faabacked Yes9c2,116$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x289d…81d4backed Yes3c2,115$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.4510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes2c2,093$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.39535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4e…cf40backed Yes4c2,072$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a24…65c9backed Yes4c2,064$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6be0…c193backed Yes5c2,047$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebb1…c5eebacked Yes4c2,036$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7a2…2b21backed Yes5c2,031$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.55922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick11cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f3…0a43backed Yes3c2,028$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes2c2,002$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.461302.3%3 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d6…876fbacked Yes3c1,994$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb997…78a3backed Yes3c1,988$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab76…ccd3backed Yes5c1,973$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e2a…b339backed Yes1c1,966$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x43bd…71a8backed Yes3c1,941$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42a…c156backed Yes3c1,939$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x278f…10b8backed Yes6c1,898$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01d…85dbbacked Yes4c1,835$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7195…29a7backed Yes9c1,827$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x591f…945bbacked Yes6c1,814$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes3c1,813$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.58180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbea0…6bddbacked Yes3c1,796$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90a2…ac63backed Yes3c1,759$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ea…576ebacked Yes4c1,759$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e79…8549backed Yes3c1,745$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d32…94d3backed Yes1c1,727$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c1…58fdbacked Yes4c1,723$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb409…dfa8backed Yes4c1,718$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ed4…03d8backed Yes5c1,717$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes1c1,716$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.141024.9%5 W · 97 L-12.8wins-0.13per pick17cpaid-91.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x882b…ddb8backed Yes4c1,705$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7739…55c9backed Yes4c1,705$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe504…c627backed Yes3c1,693$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…6b08backed Yes5c1,673$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb05…16f6backed Yes2c1,662$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f42…2c90backed Yes4c1,637$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e0…b25abacked Yes7c1,636$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c30…3248backed Yes3c1,628$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c59…06f6backed Yes4c1,625$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa386…21ffbacked Yes3c1,623$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c1,623$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.091074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff47…db5ebacked Yes5c1,614$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9415…6397backed Yes3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e6f…2561backed Yes7c1,598$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07a7…3433backed Yes5c1,581$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf076…a736backed Yes4c1,578$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2c…7fbebacked Yes5c1,569$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b6…8637backed Yes5c1,563$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7b3…33b6backed Yes3c1,559$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…4330backed Yes3c1,557$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec75…de71backed Yes3c1,554$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd6…871bbacked Yes4c1,538$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.