TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$632,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$543,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c20,574$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeb1…3cf9backed Yes2c15,203$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes1c14,072$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.368224.4%20 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c10,999$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c10,625$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.99631.6%1 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes0c5,311$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.465327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49b5…d249backed Yes1c4,855$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.676830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0083…d149backed Yes4c4,247$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51de…9e4abacked Yes1c4,017$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.32per pick25cpaid+126.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9de9…9dcbbacked Yes3c3,915$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes1c3,873$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.22535.7%3 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xafd2…9693backed Yes0c3,800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3739…307fbacked Yes1c3,469$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4620%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba21…06e2backed Yes5c3,334$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.1910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x125b…e7dfbacked Yes2c3,332$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c3,051$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.141074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa644…2713backed Yes5c2,846$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aff…56f4backed Yes2c2,758$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e51…a09abacked Yes2c2,469$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bc6…e2b0backed Yes2c2,462$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes1c2,399$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.411302.3%3 W · 127 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-68.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ed…b5bcbacked Yes3c2,398$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4be…58ddbacked Yes3c2,378$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde89…1871backed Yes3c2,377$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba30…97cebacked Yes2c2,315$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd8a…12c3backed Yes3c2,266$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe792…3283backed Yes3c2,250$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes2c2,226$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.75180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b13…3258backed Yes3c2,070$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02a1…dd72backed Yes2c2,034$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.697356.2%41 W · 32 L+14.4wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x49dd…394ebacked Yes3c2,003$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f7e…b3d7backed Yes3c1,995$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23ce…eb7cbacked Yes3c1,984$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59f5…e6c0backed Yes3c1,915$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcf5…d9cfbacked Yes3c1,874$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16df…1b0bbacked Yes3c1,860$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045c…f3c6backed Yes3c1,769$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbff0…d4e9backed Yes2c1,754$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c6…dcebbacked Yes3c1,752$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba17…c1edbacked Yes6c1,747$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d2…5033backed Yes3c1,727$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4ce…adbbbacked Yes1c1,714$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x043f…d9e1backed Yes2c1,698$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4930%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ee…6d77backed Yes3c1,666$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe8…dac8backed Yes2c1,645$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4cc…271bbacked Yes2c1,645$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3776…347bbacked Yes2c1,634$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe818…ae1bbacked Yes3c1,631$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68c1…a108backed Yes1c1,630$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdd9…52f4backed Yes3c1,609$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae72…7a52backed Yes2c1,609$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9997…c994backed Yes4c1,570$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9e2…f8b0backed Yes1c1,564$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86d3…acedbacked Yes1c1,524$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9526…43dcbacked Yes2c1,522$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac2e…743cbacked Yes3c1,458$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c86…1055backed Yes3c1,456$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c15…10f8backed Yes2c1,452$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c1,451$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.28432.3%1 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-73%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb898…1288backed Yes3c1,416$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.68119.1%1 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-63.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ba…e63fbacked Yes3c1,401$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36da…8218backed Yes2c1,385$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.672920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-68.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c75…f527backed Yes3c1,351$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eac…fe52backed Yes2c1,345$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.651010%1 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-86.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb528…00c0backed Yes2c1,345$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd902…e2d5backed Yes3c1,304$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c2…fe34backed Yes3c1,282$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5235…6174backed Yes2c1,265$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b72…7c06backed Yes3c1,261$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4519…cc15backed Yes6c1,249$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaea…7205backed Yes6c1,231$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2326…756ebacked Yes6c1,224$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x513d…2e60backed Yes6c1,201$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3094…263ebacked Yes3c1,200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e66…41e7backed Yes1c1,198$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.74180%0 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b61…2428backed Yes4c1,169$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f2…0f65backed Yes3c1,147$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb98e…6833backed Yes3c1,141$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b02…e7debacked Yes5c1,140$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f4…7bfebacked Yes2c1,139$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0920%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd41…f75fbacked Yes3c1,135$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4575…6a6ebacked Yes3c1,125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92bc…bdc0backed Yes3c1,114$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c37…d22dbacked Yes3c1,114$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Yes1c1,100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25219.5%2 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-78.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes3c1,082$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.77156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-57.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0d3…d8bcbacked Yes3c1,062$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5ab…3bcfbacked Yes3c1,038$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87e…74d7backed Yes6c1,037$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…fe9fbacked Yes6c1,024$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86b3…5bfabacked Yes1c1,023$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.852814.3%4 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+61%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce09…4202backed Yes1c1,015$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x007d…97b9backed Yes4c1,012$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e5…83d7backed Yes3c1,004$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a19…f899backed Yes6c969$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa21b…dff6backed Yes2c955$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86e4…bba7backed Yes3c947$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a5f…e384backed Yes6c942$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes2c929.85$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.262425%6 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+101.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb18…f8a2backed Yes2c924.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.