TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,095,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,033,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,095,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 497 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4e39…8cbfbacked Yes0c20,574$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes1c14,373$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.768224.4%20 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes1c11,473$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.06631.6%1 W · 62 L0.0wins0.00per pick2cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c7,100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3440%0 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ee…5e2bbacked Yes1c5,532$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb53c…4220backed Yes4c5,235$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88c3…0871backed Yes8c5,040$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e8…097bbacked Yes4c4,185$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2158…3d26backed Yes8c4,015$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d49…ccdbbacked Yes6c3,818$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5617…09ccbacked Yes4c3,573$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ce7…33ecbacked Yes9c3,507$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1682…ec59backed Yes8c3,232$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47fc…8d6bbacked Yes69c3,221$2,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,235.63944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc067…f671backed Yes7c3,119$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.33250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0469…2712backed Yes4c3,076$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a0…c022backed Yes4c3,060$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…ad2ebacked Yes8c2,908$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8488…af1ebacked Yes8c2,888$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb25…a01fbacked Yes8c2,851$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc30…71f4backed Yes8c2,844$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4f…d985backed Yes8c2,837$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40a…c057backed Yes4c2,757$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc80b…55febacked Yes4c2,742$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x347b…c9bcbacked Yes8c2,642$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.624920.4%10 W · 39 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-51.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c0…73febacked Yes4c2,589$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe792…3283backed Yes6c2,588$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x881d…bf9dbacked Yes6c2,545$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5909…7847backed Yes8c2,541$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a24…65c9backed Yes8c2,539$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd076…d784backed Yes8c2,536$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89c…7cc7backed Yes6c2,529$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb3e…a0febacked Yes6c2,498$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe554…230cbacked Yes8c2,450$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2735…39e3backed Yes5c2,312$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e2…ecc3backed Yes5c2,297$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…0299backed Yes1c2,249$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.576814.7%10 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-56.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…5b53backed Yes8c2,236$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1efe…b1d1backed Yes8c2,229$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eff…69d2backed Yes8c2,204$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c15…10f8backed Yes7c2,201$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x240b…76cabacked Yes4c2,198$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fb2…f0cbbacked Yes8c2,193$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e27…3193backed Yes1c2,160$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x045c…4b2abacked Yes7c2,153$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4229…a471backed Yes8c2,130$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes50c2,112$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.013619.4%7 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick19cpaid-43.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91c5…3b17backed Yes4c2,112$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbf…bd68backed Yes4c2,094$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8194…8609backed Yes3c2,081$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf309…c42dbacked Yes4c2,081$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…0100backed Yes8c2,077$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a04…2d40backed Yes6c2,047$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8fa…71e9backed Yes5c2,005$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdec8…82f5backed Yes4c2,002$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b2e…4b71backed Yes3c2,002$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb277…b092backed Yes4c1,985$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x978d…f39abacked Yes4c1,927$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf5c…0d98backed Yes5c1,915$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2525…b919backed No50c1,898$939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$958.079326.9%25 W · 68 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-7.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9141…c650backed Yes5c1,895$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf595…ae41backed Yes6c1,878$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1071…e5f7backed Yes4c1,870$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa264…c950backed Yes4c1,869$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb0…63b0backed Yes6c1,857$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x725f…fa87backed Yes8c1,852$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb068…834bbacked Yes7c1,810$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04de…7729backed Yes9c1,804$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c2a…c387backed Yes8c1,798$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1798…2bd0backed Yes2c1,776$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d04…a5fabacked Yes4c1,756$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a71…daf9backed Yes8c1,747$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd845…1ce2backed Yes3c1,736$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf435…ae2abacked Yes9c1,714$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7df3…ea49backed Yes3c1,699$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ed8…2eddbacked Yes5c1,695$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x873e…8a55backed Yes9c1,688$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af0…e3d6backed Yes8c1,688$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d3…a152backed Yes4c1,679$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421d…320abacked Yes59c1,645$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.3130%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes78c1,638$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.535527.3%15 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc5…5a29backed Yes9c1,626$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eb8…0474backed Yes4c1,626$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47f9…2a78backed Yes3c1,614$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86bd…8935backed Yes8c1,612$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76d7…10edbacked Yes7c1,605$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ab…5917backed Yes4c1,601$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96ed…6dedbacked Yes2c1,596$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24e8…1815backed Yes4c1,588$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa86e…5b2ebacked Yes4c1,579$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2970…f89bbacked Yes8c1,567$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d31…373fbacked Yes5c1,564$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfe0…8c6bbacked Yes3c1,549$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa51…ef1bbacked Yes7c1,547$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1feb…3f78backed Yes8c1,522$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd7…8774backed Yes5c1,513$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fd4…286ebacked Yes5c1,507$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d5f…2b1dbacked Yes3c1,505$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1ab…f3f7backed Yes4c1,504$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6591…cec3backed Yes6c1,503$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.