TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ukraine · resolved market

Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$238,575
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$141,235

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $238,575 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ukraine
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x561f…e4fabacked Yes0c12,137$12 inLost-$12.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8b3…4484backed Yes0c11,032$23 inLost-$23.488224.4%20 W · 62 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-56.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a4…3e78backed Yes1c7,712$46 inLost-$46.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b4…091ebacked Yes1c7,712$39 inLost-$38.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x941f…edbdbacked Yes0c4,167$18 inLost-$17.9450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a1…dd72backed Yes0c3,873$15 inLost-$14.887356.2%41 W · 32 L+14.4wins+0.20per pick36cpaid+58.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x49b5…d249backed Yes1c3,539$23 inLost-$23.116830.9%21 W · 47 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+40.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x81ab…ba97backed Yes2c2,634$61 inLost-$60.79156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28f2…f1c9backed Yes1c2,128$15 inLost-$15110%0 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd45…c05ebacked Yes1c1,781$12 inLost-$11.921154.5%6 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+25.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes1c1,759$11 inLost-$11.45327%37 W · 495 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-66.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a8…07e4backed Yes1c1,692$10 inLost-$10.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab37…1c49backed Yes1c1,684$12 inLost-$11.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Yes2c1,647$28 inLost-$27.98180%0 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x68c2…1711backed Yes1c1,256$18 inLost-$17.8910137.6%38 W · 63 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes3c890$23 inLost-$22.9140%0 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd38a…4832backed Yes1c739.5$10 inLost-$10812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick38cpaid-83.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3419…58f3backed Yes3c530$14 inLost-$13.7790%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc15e…ab86backed Yes3c420$11 inLost-$11.16120%0 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe254…d8fabacked Yes5c371.93$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-49.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7678…e5f0backed Yes8c272.24$22 inLost-$21.81723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8697…190dbacked Yes5c188.39$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.