Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x641830333ea2219982ecfc1819e46eb37cd07fa78c3e4da026ac068a6617e508
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $323,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,514
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $323,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8b3…4484backed Yes | 0c | 27,303$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 82 | 24.4%20 W · 62 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…9f22backed Yes | 0c | 24,825$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ce…c842backed Yes | 1c | 7,806$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed5…f666backed Yes | 0c | 7,256$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ed…b5bcbacked Yes | 1c | 5,646$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 5,337$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 63 | 1.6%1 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e35…a3bdbacked Yes | 1c | 3,949$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…0eecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,945$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.19 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…6db2backed Yes | 1c | 2,552$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…00d2backed Yes | 2c | 2,529$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,442$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469d…f659backed Yes | 4c | 2,411$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…7735backed Yes | 2c | 2,179$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b55…a6a4backed Yes | 4c | 2,170$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…d510backed Yes | 3c | 2,033$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…bc1bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,954$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0a…a2c5backed Yes | 3c | 1,919$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6493…a2e0backed Yes | 3c | 1,873$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24d…da05backed Yes | 3c | 1,718$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d41…2dfabacked Yes | 2c | 1,673$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 6cpaid | +365%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdde5…fd2bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,618$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…228cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,559$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf325…06adbacked Yes | 3c | 1,470$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…2a23backed Yes | 3c | 1,395$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…dd49backed Yes | 4c | 1,358$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b35…5393backed Yes | 2c | 1,299$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9e…24c1backed Yes | 2c | 1,249$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…381ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,229$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…5977backed Yes | 1c | 1,214$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa524…81d9backed Yes | 2c | 1,164$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 1c | 1,060$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a83…4c59backed Yes | 3c | 1,050$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 54 | 22.2%12 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa41…e96dbacked Yes | 2c | 939$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66aa…bdecbacked Yes | 2c | 862$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb4…3375backed Yes | 3c | 824$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf018…fd33backed Yes | 2c | 747$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…d102backed Yes | 2c | 743$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ff…b784backed Yes | 2c | 737$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…c635backed Yes | 3c | 660$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2d…dd8abacked Yes | 2c | 569$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf978…a8a5backed Yes | 2c | 557$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49bd…5a7ebacked Yes | 2c | 550$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…9d7bbacked Yes | 2c | 543$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f2…f1c9backed Yes | 3c | 439.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…4ce5backed Yes | 5c | 366.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Switzerland?this page
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Japan?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in South Korea?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in Ukraine?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in United States?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?No won
- Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.