Champions League · resolved market
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a13e1bc51f0a6f2763f6c2de0ffc20f2d76df2726ecbe1592a269b4d92d18d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $363,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $365,263
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $363,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 171 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 14c | 48,220$6,817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,817.26 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked No | 12c | 40,000$4,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,980.07 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 12c | 28,080$3,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.21 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed No | 12c | 27,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,239.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 12c | 27,000$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.99 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 34c | 21,000$7,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,176.34 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…742dbacked Yes | 67c | 14,077$9,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.63 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x551f…aef1backed No | 13c | 7,748$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 32c | 7,466$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.64 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 10c | 6,367$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.65 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe02c…5d08backed Yes | 63c | 5,500$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 37c | 5,343$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.13 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 12c | 5,130$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 18c | 4,822$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.32 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 39c | 4,461$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748.77 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 38c | 4,275$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.36 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ec…838fbacked Yes | 64c | 3,422$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.8 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked Yes | 61c | 3,286$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,285.51 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +5.6wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce0…8d6fbacked No | 17c | 3,000$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.84 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed Yes | 68c | 2,903$1,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.67 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…8230backed Yes | 60c | 2,706$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 13c | 2,150$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 61c | 1,804$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.61 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed No | 13c | 1,700$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6368…d45ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,682$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…a383backed Yes | 60c | 1,616$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7044…2eb6backed Yes | 63c | 1,564$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 62c | 1,560$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.46 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.98 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 20c | 1,291$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 4c | 1,200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.63 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 17c | 1,181$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.49 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…f5f4backed Yes | 61c | 1,154$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…4ca4backed Yes | 60c | 1,089$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…e032backed No | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…6d51backed Yes | 64c | 934.38$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 26c | 902.87$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.57 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed No | 12c | 900$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 57c | 795$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.85 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…66b7backed Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf938…1249backed Yes | 67c | 775.75$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e0…43b9backed Yes | 77c | 739.35$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked No | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 59c | 703.33$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.37 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1b…b9c4backed Yes | 63c | 700$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 6c | 699.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…df0bbacked Yes | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.66 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 10c | 688.27$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.73 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 39c | 656.6$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed Yes | 56c | 621.23$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.36 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 68c | 601.57$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.04 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3784…684fbacked Yes | 64c | 546.88$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…6f64backed Yes | 59c | 539.67$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 8c | 511.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 22c | 504$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381e…ca9dbacked No | 41c | 499.67$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…c962backed Yes | 70c | 474$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 62c | 473.69$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.74 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…069abacked Yes | 58c | 469.08$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +213.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…a1e4backed No | 13c | 461.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…0ee9backed Yes | 73c | 411.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…6a76backed Yes | 63c | 410$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…c06ebacked Yes | 63c | 318$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked No | 15c | 310.04$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.78 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…6eafbacked Yes | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 10c | 290$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Yes | 63c | 280.05$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.62 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed Yes | 77c | 275.28$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 7c | 271$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked No | 37c | 267.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fac…1c6fbacked No | 13c | 246.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bc…5a93backed Yes | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bc…ec72backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c5…f095backed Yes | 78c | 231.06$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.34per pick | 58cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 5c | 228$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 31c | 224.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f9…c78fbacked Yes | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…5dcdbacked Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed No | 12c | 199.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 36c | 198.81$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 39c | 196.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.13 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…b1b9backed Yes | 77c | 195.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 17c | 190.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…b78fbacked Yes | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.48 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7a…407abacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed Yes | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…a2acbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x944e…96a8backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2134…0734backed Yes | 62c | 166.56$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.76 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…ed79backed Yes | 62c | 161.94$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d0…4b71backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.