Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1c3ea2f7de17860533ca15f8f97458a88030dfa1a46c8be5396b5cb60aaa2ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,465
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $451,021
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,465 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 15c | 260,176$39,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,050.34 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227e…e118backed Yes | 67c | 14,530$9,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.86 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed No | 33c | 10,980$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.39 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 17c | 7,014$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.88 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 66c | 6,736$4,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.45 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked No | 15c | 6,711$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.65 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed No | 15c | 6,671$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.79 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +254.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked No | 34c | 6,612$2,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,243 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x078d…2916backed No | 17c | 6,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked No | 15c | 5,555$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833.25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 18c | 4,925$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.22 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 30c | 4,677$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.79 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked No | 21c | 3,261$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.97 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927b…1f2ebacked No | 34c | 3,175$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,083 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…1ab2backed No | 18c | 3,000$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…450bbacked Yes | 67c | 3,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 33c | 2,207$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.85 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 21c | 1,836$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.49 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe606…081dbacked No | 17c | 1,629$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked No | 16c | 1,523$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.04 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 33c | 1,470$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9d…8201backed No | 15c | 1,447$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 7c | 1,419$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 39c | 1,289$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 14c | 1,223$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7533…285ebacked No | 17c | 1,210$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.61 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 17c | 1,078$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.47 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 6c | 1,055$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.31 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc666…3706backed Yes | 69c | 1,014$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed Yes | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…e193backed Yes | 71c | 928.19$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.14 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820c…2283backed No | 23c | 876.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 15c | 800.2$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.83 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 78c | 795.71$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.82 | 489 | 47.6%233 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68bb…7148backed Yes | 72c | 766.05$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 165 | 53.3%88 W · 77 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 74c | 713.55$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.26 | 606 | 48.3%293 W · 313 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b13…0440backed No | 17c | 702.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked No | 35c | 652.1$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 9c | 652$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.83 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d97…fbd8backed No | 17c | 649.94$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.29 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -43%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 645.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.46 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe683…532cbacked No | 10c | 636.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked No | 28c | 631.7$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.68 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7638…b72dbacked No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…6e45backed No | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed No | 15c | 586.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed No | 28c | 550$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.67 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 79c | 543$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 65c | 488$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed No | 16c | 487.5$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…668fbacked No | 16c | 468.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce84…0bebbacked No | 32c | 465.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed No | 17c | 455.89$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…5ae0backed No | 34c | 451$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…ff2dbacked No | 19c | 449.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked No | 8c | 372.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e2…5fc9backed No | 27c | 337.28$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 74c | 335.29$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.25 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c3…9f0fbacked No | 15c | 326.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked No | 19c | 320.07$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 316.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.22 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 35c | 307.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.03 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f8…a031backed Yes | 65c | 307$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7757…120cbacked Yes | 78c | 305.17$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed No | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0b…c3cbbacked No | 15c | 299.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…2c91backed No | 34c | 293.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc8…251abacked No | 18c | 283$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed No | 33c | 279.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 67c | 259.72$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 402 | 50.7%204 W · 198 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed No | 15c | 251.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.83 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7982…86c4backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe616…7343backed Yes | 73c | 238$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 74c | 237.38$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71fd…1397backed No | 35c | 228.57$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3533…e292backed No | 19c | 215.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc4…a38dbacked No | 14c | 213$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…5ea9backed No | 35c | 200.32$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4c…8d85backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…a64fbacked No | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…07afbacked No | 10c | 193.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…c5dbbacked No | 16c | 193.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6eb…c414backed No | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 66c | 179.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…e84dbacked No | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727e…8b9dbacked No | 22c | 175$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c2…4074backed No | 16c | 170$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdd…c38cbacked No | 20c | 165$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.85 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 21c | 159.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.