Champions League · resolved market
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04e87a359608b1a0840f6864664a433e60841ec259ddbbec425797de3c7b8f1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 14c | 3,299$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.18 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 14c | 2,932$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.66 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 10c | 2,910$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcf…80acbacked Yes | 13c | 2,100$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.19 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 10c | 1,401$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.09 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 13c | 1,330$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e51…92bfbacked Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c23…0266backed Yes | 11c | 1,061$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.8 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 9cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6b…68f5backed Yes | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 9c | 922.65$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…e691backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 3c | 850.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd4…c0febacked Yes | 16c | 809.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…8fb9backed Yes | 16c | 807$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.12 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 13c | 774.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8aa…1342backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 8c | 699.95$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…e92cbacked Yes | 9c | 631$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.48 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 17cpaid | -91%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Yes | 12c | 625$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +54%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3a…610abacked Yes | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Yes | 10c | 580$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de2…71dfbacked Yes | 11c | 545.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Yes | 11c | 527.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x982e…add6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ae…4098backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5282…82fcbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c08…5c69backed Yes | 15c | 499.75$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.21 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dae…e859backed Yes | 11c | 445.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd843…533abacked Yes | 12c | 440.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab5…900bbacked Yes | 11c | 409.09$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5026…dde1backed Yes | 12c | 402.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 8c | 395.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…a891backed Yes | 13c | 382.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 12c | 349.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e45…d9ccbacked Yes | 11c | 327.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…ed79backed Yes | 11c | 322.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ec…1ee8backed Yes | 10c | 306.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…af3abacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa87…2716backed Yes | 10c | 298.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…75e3backed Yes | 8c | 286$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…b994backed Yes | 18c | 281.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c835backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 14c | 265.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…8e67backed Yes | 8c | 262.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +211.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b9…906dbacked Yes | 15c | 250$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39c8…6e68backed Yes | 11c | 250$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Yes | 9c | 223$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +9.3wins | +0.23per pick | 29cpaid | +261.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 14c | 219.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd02…0e14backed Yes | 11c | 215.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf293…e87abacked Yes | 14c | 203.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087b…b13abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e30…5629backed Yes | 11c | 200$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…a786backed Yes | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 13c | 190.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 14c | 189$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.52 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x837a…77e1backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb7…7998backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 15.2%7 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 11c | 181.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 272 | 36.4%99 W · 173 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…e64dbacked Yes | 9c | 174.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6098…617bbacked Yes | 12c | 173.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb124…2ab2backed Yes | 9c | 173.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…3bf0backed Yes | 13c | 152.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 10c | 152$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…6325backed Yes | 9c | 150.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…afc1backed Yes | 17c | 150$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb60c…db95backed Yes | 12c | 146.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d1…a427backed Yes | 11c | 139.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…5aafbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 8c | 126.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…8824backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248a…0d55backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5743…bd00backed Yes | 16c | 124.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ab…6c93backed Yes | 9c | 120.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eae…a25fbacked Yes | 11c | 118.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 10c | 117.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55f0…1476backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…a17bbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…6251backed Yes | 11c | 109.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0c…2a2abacked Yes | 12c | 107.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…b055backed Yes | 16c | 102.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 11c | 100.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a0…e80bbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4eaa…b224backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…d4ecbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…1cfdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…ced8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff1…8ec6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7906…ad0ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…3a1ebacked Yes | 12c | 99.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…dcc0backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.