Champions League · resolved market
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5173d7add7c2acffbda279a15e4f063a28f6be910199744ea3ed6be5d5d34ddc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 34c | 12,743$4,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,377.47 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b34…294cbacked Yes | 69c | 9,697$6,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,006.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Yes | 70c | 6,300$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…c139backed No | 2c | 6,130$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.55 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 65c | 5,582$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,953.7 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb51…d2f5backed No | 29c | 3,243$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,902$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.65 | 117 | 43.6%51 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 72c | 2,355$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.95 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed No | 28c | 2,279$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.21 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.6wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +144.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.68 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…569fbacked Yes | 32c | 1,829$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 28c | 1,740$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.65 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d7…1252backed Yes | 72c | 1,650$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…cdb5backed Yes | 73c | 1,593$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb26e…4a51backed No | 28c | 1,453$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed Yes | 71c | 1,402$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…36fdbacked No | 29c | 1,365$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 5c | 1,300$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Yes | 71c | 1,200$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.99 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 1,139$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.97 | 607 | 48.4%294 W · 313 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc294…570ebacked No | 31c | 1,129$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 33cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed No | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 70c | 999.98$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26e3…0b75backed Yes | 70c | 999.73$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…5b43backed Yes | 30c | 999.05$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed No | 27c | 932.07$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.19 | 120 | 36.7%44 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 810.67$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.47 | 403 | 50.9%205 W · 198 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked No | 32c | 787.03$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 30c | 743$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.1 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e2…c5c6backed Yes | 72c | 722.26$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…9b86backed No | 28c | 710.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…1cfabacked Yes | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked No | 4c | 700$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d02…adadbacked No | 72c | 698.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 6c | 659$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 646.77$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.54 | 502 | 47.2%237 W · 265 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 43c | 553.25$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.63 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x343c…d43dbacked No | 25c | 529.69$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked No | 8c | 524.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 28c | 500.1$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.03 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed No | 29c | 478.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.79 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 67c | 471.04$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.6 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed No | 24c | 450.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…14febacked No | 30c | 448$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…37e6backed No | 29c | 441.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 3c | 432$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 72c | 416.54$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.96 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd544…1a81backed Yes | 74c | 412.85$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb73…b8b8backed Yes | 72c | 400$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 72c | 399.97$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f4…e4cbbacked No | 27c | 379.37$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 46c | 378.43$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.19 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed No | 30c | 335.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.78 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd9…8843backed No | 31c | 330$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d79…1c29backed No | 24c | 299.97$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…f2cdbacked No | 29c | 278.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.69 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Yes | 70c | 272.54$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4033…33a9backed Yes | 72c | 263.81$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf4…4fe5backed No | 49c | 258.92$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…d735backed No | 25c | 257.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 18cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…0ec5backed No | 45c | 256.45$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.58 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…8490backed No | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f58…c8b6backed Yes | 40c | 233.47$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…6abdbacked No | 27c | 233.47$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef2…c694backed No | 29c | 232$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 20c | 225.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b4a…7798backed No | 26c | 222.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.81 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Yes | 65c | 222$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked No | 48c | 206.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…7e4cbacked Yes | 29c | 203.33$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80a2…29cabacked No | 31c | 201.11$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dca…d0afbacked No | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…1154backed No | 70c | 199.97$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…f39bbacked No | 39c | 190.87$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.1wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed No | 30c | 187.97$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…0d8cbacked Yes | 64c | 182.76$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 41c | 166.41$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…978ebacked Yes | 36c | 163.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a1…2cb8backed No | 31c | 161.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed Yes | 26c | 160.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.74 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed No | 30c | 154.7$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 43c | 146.15$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.04 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0212…fee5backed No | 18c | 144.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 22c | 144.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7070…6c6ebacked Yes | 76c | 141.71$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e9…fe78backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 36cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 72c | 140$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Yes | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa9…5c8ebacked No | 9c | 134$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb777…3ff9backed Yes | 72c | 133.57$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed Yes | 67c | 133.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.52 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b26…7fa1backed Yes | 71c | 126.76$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 64c | 126.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.4 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?this page
- Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Newcastle reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?Yes won
- Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
- Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.