Fifa International · resolved market
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8c3fff562711af557abca5e7367dbb892b1d79419b039b6f185e49f21ec6f71
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $515,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $535,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $515,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 952 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 52c | 22,617$11,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,811.62 | 335 | 55.5%186 W · 149 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 36c | 15,473$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,902.83 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd018…8ca5backed Yes | 0c | 15,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 35c | 10,757$3,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,015.54 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9032…8717backed No | 45c | 8,713$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,831.54 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…7be9backed No | 24c | 8,553$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,488.21 | 95 | 16.8%16 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9106…afcbbacked Yes | 76c | 7,962$6,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,081.04 | 86 | 60.5%52 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed No | 19c | 7,040$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,702.25 | 131 | 22.1%29 W · 102 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 50c | 5,555$2,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,777.49 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 22c | 5,182$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028.29 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed No | 26c | 5,024$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,699.43 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 63c | 4,997$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.27 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…2e1cbacked Yes | 65c | 4,733$3,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,061.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e3…5088backed Yes | 4c | 4,659$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Yes | 73c | 4,048$2,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,965.26 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.26per pick | 42cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked No | 54c | 4,000$2,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,840.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…8a30backed No | 33c | 3,828$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,575.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +96.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x241c…3d77backed No | 28c | 3,364$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x243c…2240backed Yes | 67c | 3,350$2,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,233.77 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b6f…ce60backed No | 37c | 3,200$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 80c | 3,196$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.1 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7434…2ff4backed Yes | 47c | 3,174$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.6 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 75c | 3,097$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,318.82 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f24…c911backed Yes | 61c | 2,889$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.7 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed Yes | 70c | 2,859$2,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Yes | 64c | 2,658$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40af…abb2backed Yes | 64c | 2,658$1,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 19c | 2,544$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.14 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed No | 28c | 2,401$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.46 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e84…5bbbbacked No | 41c | 2,378$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc747…de65backed Yes | 66c | 2,377$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb60…60f1backed No | 40c | 2,286$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 47c | 2,279$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.56 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 40c | 2,212$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,324.81 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed No | 35c | 2,193$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…5903backed Yes | 77c | 2,188$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.73 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 44c | 2,172$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,207.99 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd5…9bc5backed Yes | 59c | 2,123$1,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,257.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x138d…b23ebacked No | 39c | 2,120$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…02b7backed Yes | 60c | 2,044$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 63c | 2,037$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.99 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 15c | 1,998$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…0b7cbacked Yes | 60c | 1,997$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f79…30e2backed Yes | 71c | 1,983$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 70c | 1,912$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.91 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…b9d3backed No | 40c | 1,871$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 31c | 1,799$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,237.39 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 67c | 1,792$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.49 | 98 | 38.8%38 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa960…e7a4backed Yes | 60c | 1,745$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6844…a410backed No | 40c | 1,744$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 39c | 1,689$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.91 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…09a3backed Yes | 59c | 1,673$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…fa8abacked No | 36c | 1,644$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce7…c57dbacked No | 36c | 1,644$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ff…1061backed No | 36c | 1,644$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed Yes | 52c | 1,611$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…b9f4backed No | 38c | 1,604$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 34c | 1,597$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.48 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6361…a45abacked No | 40c | 1,590$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…0523backed Yes | 60c | 1,585$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 137 | 62.8%86 W · 51 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde8b…3456backed No | 39c | 1,545$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae54…8587backed No | 40c | 1,539$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…f939backed Yes | 65c | 1,538$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.68 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Yes | 65c | 1,511$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78e3…a04ebacked Yes | 64c | 1,505$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d6…b64bbacked No | 42c | 1,494$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 80c | 1,483$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,186.62 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,476$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…1f06backed Yes | 61c | 1,438$879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 41c | 1,390$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.57 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2d…a919backed Yes | 60c | 1,378$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb898…1288backed No | 22c | 1,368$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +356.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x276c…2e94backed Yes | 64c | 1,344$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc153…a68fbacked Yes | 72c | 1,340$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.97 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +62%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1503…3915backed No | 35c | 1,315$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…43fabacked Yes | 62c | 1,309$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 77c | 1,306$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…272ebacked Yes | 60c | 1,304$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5882…4314backed Yes | 58c | 1,303$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…833abacked Yes | 59c | 1,267$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c97…32ddbacked No | 42c | 1,262$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf304…f8fabacked Yes | 59c | 1,256$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 23c | 1,252$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.54 | 326 | 29.1%95 W · 231 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdea3…8e33backed Yes | 60c | 1,239$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed No | 31c | 1,236$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1174…c81ebacked Yes | 59c | 1,234$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…a0ccbacked Yes | 60c | 1,227$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 47c | 1,211$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.89 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…f99bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,176$770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.87 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab3…b33bbacked Yes | 65c | 1,165$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…fe4ebacked Yes | 61c | 1,149$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…7740backed Yes | 64c | 1,148$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad3…fb0fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,142$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…0234backed Yes | 60c | 1,135$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf76…687cbacked No | 47c | 1,108$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 1c | 1,100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…bf77backed Yes | 77c | 1,100$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.99 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 31 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Albania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Austria qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Belgium qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Bolivia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Colombia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Croatia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will DR Congo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Denmark qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Finland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Iraq qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ireland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Jamaica qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Kosovo qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Netherlands qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will New Caledonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will North Macedonia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Oman qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Poland qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Romania qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Saudi Arabia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Slovakia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Suriname qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Sweden qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Turkey qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Ukraine qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will United Arab Emirates qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Uruguay qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Wales qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.