TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x288b…a713

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Dota2, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 53 out of 100; worst Other European Leagues at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Rebeka Masarova vs Leylah Fernandezbacked Leylah Fernandez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Abidjan 2: Gauthier Onclin vs Michael Mmohbacked Michael Mmoh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.7
Madrid Open, Qualification: Nikola Bartunkova vs Alina Charaevabacked Nikola Bartunkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.64
Madrid Open, Qualification: Zsombor Piros vs Tomas Barriosbacked Zsombor Piros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.3
Wuning 2: Justin Boulais vs Philip Sekulicbacked Justin Boulais · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,385Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+44.2%+$612.13
Busan: Rio Noguchi vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$2,459Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,458.61
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole, Qualification: Oceane Babel vs Jessica Pieribacked Jessica Pieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.62
Wuning: Fajing Sun vs Pavel Kotovbacked Fajing Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.87
Credit One Charleston Open: Jessica Pegula vs Yulia Putintsevabacked Yulia Putintseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$2,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,094.68
Menorca: Daniel Rincon vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Frederico Ferreira Silva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$6,315Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,314.68
Grand Prix Hassan II: Karim Bennani vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Karim Bennani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.92
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Alexander Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,784Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,784.3
Copa Colsanitas: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Sofia Costoulasbacked Hanne Vandewinkel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$5,657Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$3,774.49
Miyazaki: Harry Wendelken vs Justin Boulaisbacked Harry Wendelken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,738Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.4%+$1,883.41
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31%+$4.97
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsbacked Team Resilience · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.1
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.27
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$10.45
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$14.41
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.96
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$32.77
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nemiga Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.73
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$357.82
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 1 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,657Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.9%+$478.29
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.63
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.91
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stagebacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.58
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$120.84
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$78.99
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Monte - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$5,787Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,787.12
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerbacked Lavked · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$4,881Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,880.54
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked SemperFi Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,471Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.8%+$1,551.16
Counter-Strike: Rare Atom vs Chinggis Warriors (BO3) - GangKui Cup Playoffsbacked Chinggis Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+73.7%+$62.61
All 9 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick61cpaid-44.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$186.59
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$55.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+37%+$21.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$14.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,003.35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.