CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a8c60325870fe8ac2f33c3fd198274963bd429daf42aa8b46c78a9766419ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SemperFi Esportsof TYLOO, SemperFi Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,612
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,612 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x288b…a713backed SemperFi Esports | 61c | 4,023$2,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,551.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed SemperFi Esports | 74c | 2,375$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.05 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked TYLOO | 50c | 1,765$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.43 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed TYLOO | 34c | 1,341$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.53 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked TYLOO | 12c | 655.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x930b…0223backed TYLOO | 60c | 608.96$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.38 | 238 | 61.3%146 W · 92 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SemperFi Esports | 38c | 435.61$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.46 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked TYLOO | 27c | 433.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.65 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed TYLOO | 13c | 423.3$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.77 | 134 | 36.6%49 W · 85 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed SemperFi Esports | 45c | 401.37$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.53 | 314 | 52.2%164 W · 150 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked TYLOO | 15c | 367.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.16 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked TYLOO | 6c | 322.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed TYLOO | 75c | 263.52$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.97 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed TYLOO | 53c | 246.87$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.83 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked TYLOO | 66c | 199.98$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed TYLOO | 64c | 197.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.75 | 264 | 75%198 W · 66 L | +24.2wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked TYLOO | 29c | 179.9$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.59 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed TYLOO | 64c | 153.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…b45fbacked TYLOO | 67c | 132.09$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.21 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked SemperFi Esports | 67c | 126.58$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…0b28backed TYLOO | 50c | 107$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed TYLOO | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…b6d7backed TYLOO | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed TYLOO | 75c | 99.81$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.86 | 538 | 50.6%272 W · 266 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked TYLOO | 70c | 99.27$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TYLOO | 19c | 94.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…5f50backed SemperFi Esports | 56c | 89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6a…e915backed SemperFi Esports | 27c | 76.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed SemperFi Esports | 57c | 64.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed TYLOO | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed TYLOO | 68c | 46.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 204 | 55.9%114 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked TYLOO | 48c | 45.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked TYLOO | 32c | 44.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked SemperFi Esports | 50c | 39.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…c6b6backed SemperFi Esports | 50c | 36.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked TYLOO | 64c | 34.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed TYLOO | 60c | 32.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…9c54backed TYLOO | 74c | 23.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed TYLOO | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup PlayoffsSemperFi Esports won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.