CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5abe82c678120a0be41acac1b0065a53b8ba9f38a9a32e78f56f1bf593134442
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SemperFi Esportsof TYLOO, SemperFi Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed TYLOO | 58c | 2,500$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.29 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked SemperFi Esports | 75c | 1,965$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.38 | 124 | 65.3%81 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed TYLOO | 24c | 1,178$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked SemperFi Esports | 23c | 859.69$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.84 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed SemperFi Esports | 42c | 478.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.57 | 279 | 50.2%140 W · 139 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed SemperFi Esports | 49c | 435.3$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.02 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17c…b2e6backed TYLOO | 59c | 364.74$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.22 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked TYLOO | 60c | 325.33$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.2 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked TYLOO | 32c | 268.14$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a3…3b73backed TYLOO | 47c | 149.89$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed SemperFi Esports | 35c | 132.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.81 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked SemperFi Esports | 55c | 129.57$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed TYLOO | 50c | 114.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.67 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked TYLOO | 64c | 104.72$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac1…3afebacked TYLOO | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked TYLOO | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed TYLOO | 76c | 90$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd468…f6febacked TYLOO | 50c | 79.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 461 | 42.7%197 W · 264 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed SemperFi Esports | 49c | 69.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 476 | 65.1%310 W · 166 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf27e…d69dbacked SemperFi Esports | 33c | 69.18$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +12.7wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked SemperFi Esports | 65c | 60.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed TYLOO | 46c | 56.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked TYLOO | 67c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb94f…07a6backed TYLOO | 57c | 47.35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…0021backed TYLOO | 28c | 41.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…6d0abacked TYLOO | 50c | 40.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4d…554bbacked TYLOO | 64c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked SemperFi Esports | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf116…ec03backed SemperFi Esports | 33c | 36.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…f208backed SemperFi Esports | 61c | 30.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…a659backed TYLOO | 64c | 30.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 121 | 62.8%76 W · 45 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked SemperFi Esports | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…2368backed TYLOO | 58c | 25.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked TYLOO | 65c | 25.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.4wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed SemperFi Esports | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports (BO3) - GangKui Cup PlayoffsSemperFi Esports won
- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs SemperFi Esports - Map 2 WinnerSemperFi Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.