Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12d4f2f21e8b9dc4add753880ba221a0bf88ebab32d0dc597d602569c32acb2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof Virtus.pro, L1ga Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,564
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed L1ga Team | 71c | 2,233$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.27 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Virtus.pro | 49c | 1,961$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.66 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…b5c4backed Virtus.pro | 59c | 1,921$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.01 | 159 | 46.5%74 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team | 63c | 1,482$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.33 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…0f85backed L1ga Team | 64c | 1,036$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 998.12$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.42 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…2812backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 900$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 118 | 36.4%43 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed L1ga Team | 46c | 818.66$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed Virtus.pro | 21c | 651.18$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.63 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team | 73c | 553.64$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 499.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Virtus.pro | 43c | 454.07$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.1 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 437.78$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.92 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked L1ga Team | 79c | 404.59$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 399.99$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 615 | 48.8%300 W · 315 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team | 65c | 393.42$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.7 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked L1ga Team | 47c | 382.26$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.17 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed L1ga Team | 48c | 356.02$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.91 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed L1ga Team | 66c | 352.11$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.22 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Virtus.pro | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86bc…efbcbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 294.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 235 | 55.7%131 W · 104 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked Virtus.pro | 22c | 277.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team | 47c | 242.05$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked L1ga Team | 58c | 241.37$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.3 | 308 | 44.8%138 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 194.84$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.06 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb98d…c479backed L1ga Team | 46c | 185$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked L1ga Team | 58c | 182.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.37 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 55c | 170$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.3 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 160.64$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.92 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed L1ga Team | 47c | 135.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.91 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team | 44c | 109.82$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 105.04$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed Virtus.pro | 44c | 103.38$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.35 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…3769backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Virtus.pro | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked L1ga Team | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed L1ga Team | 53c | 91.42$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.79 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 304 | 60.2%183 W · 121 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Virtus.pro | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed L1ga Team | 44c | 76.87$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 76.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed L1ga Team | 71c | 71.7$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa6bb…6b39backed Virtus.pro | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed L1ga Team | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed L1ga Team | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed L1ga Team | 50c | 57.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 50.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd77…6223backed L1ga Team | 59c | 49.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 46 | 65.2%30 W · 16 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Virtus.pro | 58c | 49.39$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Virtus.pro | 34c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908b…247cbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 47.94$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed L1ga Team | 55c | 44.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 38.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked L1ga Team | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked L1ga Team | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed L1ga Team | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked L1ga Team | 66c | 23.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked L1ga Team | 64c | 19.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group BL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs L1ga Team - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.