Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5af5548a14f286fbaf3a2367e0b2dfca4895d758dea3947991fd61a749b86b69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $283,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5111…a9e5backed Yes | 0c | 25,061$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 1c | 20,379$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.14 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 17c | 10,540$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,793.93 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 69c | 10,291$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.82 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 18c | 7,974$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.66 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 0c | 7,012$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 27c | 5,051$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.7 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 28c | 4,543$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.05 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 29c | 4,205$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.28 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d550backed No | 73c | 4,176$3,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85ef…3116backed Yes | 2c | 3,036$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.44 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5755…473cbacked No | 76c | 2,762$2,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.78 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 2,403$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.13 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,227$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…2eb0backed Yes | 1c | 2,144$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,091$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.61 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0688…7a12backed No | 72c | 2,063$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.58 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 1,998$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…a65cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,876$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 68c | 1,454$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.18 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed Yes | 31c | 1,295$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.06 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…6ca9backed Yes | 2c | 1,191$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.42 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,091$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.02 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 1c | 1,006$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 2c | 985.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…3659backed No | 76c | 965.44$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c53…e48fbacked No | 71c | 944.74$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 15c | 884.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.01 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09d6…9205backed No | 72c | 783.2$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 2c | 778.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 24c | 718.83$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 2c | 691.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c7…8e30backed Yes | 3c | 691.07$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a9…3d6fbacked No | 66c | 677.33$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 5c | 658.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9567…e505backed No | 75c | 648.03$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.97 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 76c | 504.99$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.3 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 492.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed Yes | 31c | 487.92$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed No | 70c | 466.87$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…858bbacked Yes | 22c | 434.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.42 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd158…d4f4backed Yes | 18c | 418.04$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.17 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6dc…246ebacked No | 71c | 313.74$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 137 | 70.1%96 W · 41 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 71c | 299.99$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…3aa3backed Yes | 6c | 299.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes | 20c | 296.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 32c | 281.9$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.21 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Yes | 18c | 248.93$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46b4…72e9backed Yes | 21c | 248.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd97…b6edbacked No | 75c | 247.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…523fbacked No | 66c | 222.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaded…c174backed Yes | 29c | 216.17$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked Yes | 28c | 197.09$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.79 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5787…c02ebacked Yes | 7c | 187.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…2c07backed No | 74c | 185.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 80c | 182.88$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b4…082bbacked Yes | 21c | 182.66$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed No | 66c | 163.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 11c | 154.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed No | 70c | 150.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa280…fbbabacked No | 69c | 138.46$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf199…ab80backed Yes | 20c | 137.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…44b9backed Yes | 33c | 129.64$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked No | 69c | 111.77$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…3ca1backed Yes | 32c | 109.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 31c | 105.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.18 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6f…b14dbacked Yes | 23c | 102.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefcc…4883backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa752…2897backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc18e…b090backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d0…1f1fbacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe19f…aa7abacked Yes | 32c | 98.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.57 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 39c | 91.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…0425backed No | 72c | 82.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 25c | 82.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked No | 71c | 81.67$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cf…1901backed Yes | 30c | 80.81$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…b029backed No | 73c | 79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 27c | 77.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…5052backed No | 72c | 74.64$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 67cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 63c | 73.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…6ac9backed No | 73c | 69.59$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed No | 70c | 67.75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a7…3576backed No | 69c | 67.4$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 29c | 60.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9782…0a6ebacked Yes | 30c | 59.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked No | 71c | 56.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9675…6703backed Yes | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa813…04fbbacked No | 68c | 49.7$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +17.0wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb34…a1cdbacked No | 72c | 48.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…3909backed No | 69c | 48.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.95 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3973…2bcfbacked Yes | 31c | 44.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 26c | 44.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 31c | 44.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb7…61e0backed Yes | 28c | 43.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227d…1a26backed No | 78c | 43.39$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +13.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe17b…04cbbacked Yes | 26c | 40.47$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Yes | 32c | 39.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.