TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9782…0a6e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
52
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
England vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$73.05
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$104.24
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$27.82
Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.65
Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$45.26
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$30.15
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$73.88
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.85
Germany vs. Paraguay: Germany O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$49.73
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.89
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.35
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.64
Brazil vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Brazil vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
All 23 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.15
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.32
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-03-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$23.32
Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Athletic Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.7%+$10.35
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+44.9%+$13.48
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.46
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+93%+$17.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$11.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.