Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdcc8a447b78110b0f23282b9730bcec97efe8ed89deccb4604dd751b4a4b639
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $455,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $443,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked No | 76c | 59,568$45,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,124.46 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe5…8e3dbacked Yes | 18c | 36,560$6,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,621.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55c9…5f67backed Yes | 16c | 22,624$3,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,665.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 61c | 12,250$7,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,830.12 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…18e5backed Yes | 45c | 11,057$5,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,024.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +298.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 10c | 7,894$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 7,281$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.93 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…0044backed Yes | 16c | 6,378$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 51c | 6,351$3,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.27 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 60c | 6,216$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.6 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 60c | 6,037$3,623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.01 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 12c | 5,775$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.7 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 5,105$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…f0b2backed No | 74c | 4,927$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.21 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 52c | 4,347$2,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,263.92 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 8c | 4,267$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.4 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd1…099ebacked Yes | 49c | 3,901$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.16 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -55%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 36c | 3,831$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.98 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 45c | 3,737$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664.01 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 38c | 3,522$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.45 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 77c | 2,978$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.58 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes | 10c | 2,955$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.83 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…df7dbacked Yes | 3c | 2,848$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 24c | 2,687$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c1…bdb9backed Yes | 36c | 2,392$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.97 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…484dbacked No | 61c | 2,159$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 21c | 2,124$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.85 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Yes | 24c | 2,000$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ab…7085backed Yes | 32c | 1,822$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.45 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 22c | 1,746$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.79 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x285e…f38cbacked Yes | 3c | 1,732$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.86 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c700backed Yes | 28c | 1,601$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 11c | 1,587$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.36 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…4723backed Yes | 34c | 1,479$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.33 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…076dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,272$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,235$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.77 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 5c | 1,228$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 1,168$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,156$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 12c | 1,150$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 16c | 1,141$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.64 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05cb…f625backed Yes | 33c | 1,084$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.6 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…e2f8backed Yes | 4c | 1,059$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 988.18$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.5 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 27c | 899.43$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.18 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 30c | 845.72$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.71 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 51c | 787.17$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.89 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 6c | 767.37$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…8996backed No | 66c | 750$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 29c | 699.96$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.99 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…a038backed Yes | 3c | 687.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9343…3f72backed Yes | 24c | 680.66$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…7c76backed Yes | 38c | 672.94$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.54 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…4a48backed Yes | 8c | 664.58$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…8304backed No | 57c | 650.55$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.73 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a6…4387backed Yes | 2c | 640.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes | 48c | 604.03$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c48dbacked Yes | 56c | 600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35e…0867backed Yes | 23c | 599.94$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.99 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 6c | 560.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked No | 63c | 549.42$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.81 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1561…2028backed Yes | 4c | 534$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53c6…836abacked Yes | 3c | 526.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 17c | 512.8$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.69 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -9.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…f844backed Yes | 13c | 499.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 7c | 499.97$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed No | 77c | 489.52$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed No | 47c | 471.65$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.97 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 6c | 458.03$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…68cfbacked Yes | 27c | 442.62$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Yes | 3c | 430.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c28…1041backed Yes | 3c | 430.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…e9e4backed Yes | 24c | 422.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.52 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…6ca6backed Yes | 23c | 415.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…ff94backed Yes | 22c | 404.25$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…d768backed Yes | 3c | 400$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x824f…e635backed Yes | 41c | 400$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 3c | 399.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…2255backed Yes | 54c | 398.01$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63b0…4cf2backed Yes | 5c | 376.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa29b…a0b8backed Yes | 51c | 374.49$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.81 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 47c | 371.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.05 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68f7…0e56backed No | 70c | 350$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x819e…858bbacked No | 46c | 317.89$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.55 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…9054backed Yes | 15c | 306.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…441cbacked Yes | 38c | 296.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 14c | 296.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed No | 49c | 285.62$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.71 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…897bbacked No | 79c | 284.57$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.76 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…8bf2backed Yes | 23c | 284.23$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 26c | 283.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce83…5b97backed No | 73c | 274$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.98 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c97…b2f4backed Yes | 17c | 259.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…f81cbacked No | 75c | 256.34$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…11bbbacked Yes | 17c | 252.34$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 28c | 247.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.