Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2dd157c0e690fd1cc4f8a0c0da20f098610b5d52a2cf3c0c162101447baa464b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $557,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $546,732
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $557,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Yes | 1c | 33,703$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 50c | 29,356$14,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,761.73 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed No | 59c | 19,816$11,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,208.53 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5360…1f6fbacked Yes | 2c | 18,306$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.75 | 146 | 6.2%9 W · 137 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf34…dc6ebacked Yes | 14c | 14,312$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.4 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…f196backed Yes | 70c | 13,669$9,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,567.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…dc73backed No | 58c | 13,486$7,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,616.07 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…1ea4backed No | 32c | 12,534$4,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,494.46 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 18cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…a403backed Yes | 4c | 12,224$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.47 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 34c | 9,099$3,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.09 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d550backed No | 67c | 8,919$5,955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,963.68 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 37c | 7,155$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.73 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77eb…9d5cbacked No | 68c | 6,873$4,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5a89backed Yes | 6c | 5,415$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.59 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c2…67a3backed Yes | 42c | 5,072$2,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,111.85 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 4c | 4,692$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.86 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 5c | 4,649$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.75 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 4,435$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 71c | 3,814$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.48 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…9783backed Yes | 53c | 3,098$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,636.8 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…606abacked Yes | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed No | 57c | 2,438$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.88 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…5402backed No | 37c | 2,394$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +169.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 42c | 2,357$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,362.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed No | 52c | 2,296$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.14 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Yes | 4c | 2,167$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…b521backed Yes | 4c | 2,165$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb148…bb0ebacked Yes | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4398…de19backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 3c | 1,936$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.81 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,817$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…7b07backed Yes | 8c | 1,777$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf4d…78f5backed Yes | 5c | 1,752$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedad…17b2backed No | 68c | 1,651$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.41 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 57c | 1,646$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 30c | 1,604$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,119.72 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c35…feebbacked Yes | 3c | 1,594$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…88b1backed Yes | 60c | 1,550$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578f…f112backed No | 78c | 1,500$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.3 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 8c | 1,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.22 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 1,300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed Yes | 28c | 1,204$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.76 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6c…0b29backed Yes | 4c | 1,182$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b64…707bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,139$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdef8…4607backed Yes | 3c | 1,114$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 4c | 1,097$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 3c | 1,077$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x263d…e2f8backed Yes | 4c | 1,066$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 53c | 1,060$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.96 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed36…e096backed Yes | 8c | 1,031$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.81 | 52 | 26.9%14 W · 38 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 31c | 1,023$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.7 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771a…3659backed No | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 4c | 999.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.18 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed Yes | 2c | 929.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…0a5dbacked Yes | 5c | 900$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 103 | 1.9%2 W · 101 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2c…c700backed No | 29c | 897.76$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 3c | 891.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…3f1bbacked Yes | 2c | 821.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 5c | 795.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 39c | 764.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.29 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…3b20backed No | 75c | 722.87$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16c…866abacked Yes | 26c | 681.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.82 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Yes | 3c | 636.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked No | 63c | 633.51$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…4a48backed Yes | 3c | 629$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 60c | 628.41$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f6…8df2backed Yes | 61c | 627.73$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…5723backed Yes | 5c | 624.61$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6773…aa95backed Yes | 5c | 617.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 40c | 616.26$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.73 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeae9…523fbacked No | 65c | 615.2$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…a65cbacked Yes | 2c | 600.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…6ca6backed Yes | 17c | 585.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…86b6backed Yes | 20c | 520$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe65…cd92backed Yes | 62c | 488.12$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.63 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…fda8backed Yes | 13c | 487.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…4b25backed Yes | 62c | 483.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.07 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…a038backed Yes | 3c | 480.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…c978backed Yes | 5c | 477.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 26c | 468.08$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.88 | 89 | 19.1%17 W · 72 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf794…2359backed No | 79c | 459.32$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5952…5679backed No | 79c | 449.64$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked No | 31c | 402.03$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b66…95c0backed Yes | 66c | 400$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 3c | 399.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ed…11bbbacked Yes | 11c | 396.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.59 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 4c | 393.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 32c | 391.67$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.08 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 21c | 355.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.27 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Yes | 43c | 338.35$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.62 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc81b…6ca9backed Yes | 8c | 327.97$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1afe…b6e4backed Yes | 66c | 324.24$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…be7abacked No | 52c | 307.35$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.1 | 99 | 40.4%40 W · 59 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…49bbbacked No | 58c | 298.47$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…0044backed No | 38c | 271.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd401…f81cbacked Yes | 73c | 263.32$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…e9e4backed Yes | 50c | 254.98$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eeb…c3d7backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.