Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dad7a433623ef4f0bbe06e59f0fbd114b3eb770bb064bb534217304bbff6c98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 25,259$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.84 | 118 | 13.6%16 W · 102 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +281.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x615e…5295backed Yes | 1c | 13,915$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.39 | 227 | 0.9%2 W · 225 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes | 8c | 11,120$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.44 | 27 | 0%0 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 10c | 10,115$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.95 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…e9a4backed Yes | 13c | 8,388$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.05 | 142 | 13.4%19 W · 123 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…0988backed No | 77c | 7,536$5,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,745.58 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.2wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbebe…d658backed Yes | 1c | 6,355$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.79 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fac…4723backed Yes | 10c | 5,498$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.1 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,343$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 4,205$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 197 | 0%0 W · 197 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked Yes | 25c | 4,030$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.14 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 2c | 3,630$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 20c | 3,291$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.34 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 13c | 2,887$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.42 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 2,351$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.02 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 2,320$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 416 | 3.1%13 W · 403 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,295$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92f9…e5fabacked Yes | 15c | 2,255$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x991f…d3c2backed Yes | 26c | 2,218$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.41 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,120$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.9 | 137 | 3.6%5 W · 132 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9b7bbacked No | 76c | 2,044$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.74 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc525…47a7backed Yes | 23c | 2,034$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae7…2800backed Yes | 32c | 1,923$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…927bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,592$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 167 | 2.4%4 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 5c | 1,527$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.77 | 258 | 1.2%3 W · 255 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -84%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5a…0a4fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,526$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 475 | 4.6%22 W · 453 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +144.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 5c | 1,483$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.93 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f69…acb6backed Yes | 7c | 1,417$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.88 | 179 | 2.2%4 W · 175 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547d…ea58backed No | 71c | 1,401$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…bc82backed Yes | 4c | 1,089$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…0960backed Yes | 4c | 1,083$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1f…7631backed No | 73c | 989.92$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.98 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…750ebacked Yes | 20c | 971.11$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.22 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5f…634dbacked No | 80c | 800$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5d0…4a48backed Yes | 3c | 785.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e5…c48dbacked Yes | 29c | 781.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33b…2372backed Yes | 12c | 738.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.3 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090c…4deebacked Yes | 13c | 672.86$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.47 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…b96cbacked Yes | 29c | 670.88$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0f…e5f4backed Yes | 21c | 614.93$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.39 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 19c | 575.51$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 12c | 565.39$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 7c | 550.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 315 | 23.8%75 W · 240 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 25c | 509.76$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.5 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd6…8733backed Yes | 8c | 487.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…251ebacked Yes | 24c | 468.26$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 117 | 20.5%24 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…caebbacked Yes | 9c | 455.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2feb…b324backed Yes | 21c | 443.12$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…d12cbacked Yes | 20c | 442.36$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 420.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335c…6e62backed Yes | 25c | 391.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.31 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 3c | 335$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c67…b394backed Yes | 16c | 320.25$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd158…d4f4backed Yes | 13c | 309.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…ce73backed Yes | 4c | 301.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +549.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 21c | 292.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.17 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e41…9054backed Yes | 6c | 274.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbae0…6ca6backed Yes | 19c | 263.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…e9e4backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 30cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…1c00backed Yes | 9c | 241.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 78 | 6.4%5 W · 73 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ce…6da0backed Yes | 7c | 234.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…83d3backed Yes | 10c | 217.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes | 28c | 209.23$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa681…8b89backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b7…7933backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…6ba3backed Yes | 8c | 185.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a77…c95cbacked No | 80c | 160.6$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +141.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034e…f79dbacked Yes | 8c | 156.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…5d23backed Yes | 25c | 155.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…11dfbacked Yes | 12c | 143.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 72c | 134.86$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.76 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5576…622fbacked Yes | 8c | 130.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed Yes | 10c | 128.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433d…a85abacked Yes | 22c | 115.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…fda6backed No | 78c | 110.72$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c7…ff77backed Yes | 29c | 100.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +877.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65fb…9f17backed Yes | 30c | 96.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…a85bbacked No | 73c | 95.28$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd315…72ecbacked Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 24c | 93.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…f7a6backed Yes | 19c | 92.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…62b0backed No | 79c | 86.38$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60c3…bc62backed Yes | 17c | 77.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa479…6a67backed Yes | 23c | 77.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked No | 77c | 76.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.69 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…cba2backed Yes | 27c | 70.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fc…b74bbacked No | 78c | 68.79$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…3909backed No | 72c | 67.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 63cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa956…666fbacked No | 72c | 66.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…08d5backed No | 78c | 64.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 49cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed Yes | 23c | 51.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Yes | 23c | 50.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…134fbacked No | 77c | 44.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe032…7f7bbacked Yes | 24c | 41.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…1b86backed No | 74c | 41.09$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5e…32c2backed Yes | 30c | 40.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 March 30-April 5?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 March 30-April 5?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 30-April 5?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 30-April 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.