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La Liga · resolved market

Deportivo Alavés vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$305,547

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,547 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 320 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3fd9…1ef0backed Over47c50,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,499.8610450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c4…6f95backed Over49c28,757$14,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,090.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over49c24,119$11,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,818.0969142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Under50c20,050$10,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,025.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5e…83f8backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,000366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under51c18,143$9,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,891.623100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c14,548$7,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,197.9850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba1…1ce4backed Under53c14,323$7,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,786.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf617…80c9backed Under53c12,694$6,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.27742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over48c9,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,319.9230446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under48c8,734$4,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,541.912152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over49c7,678$3,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,748.152,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…d2f0backed Under53c7,672$4,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,605.71136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5005757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under50c7,000$3,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,469.967349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under53c5,423$2,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.473540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Under53c5,336$2,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.853345.5%15 W · 18 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over51c5,212$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,658.2320%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a0c…0beebacked Over12c5,099$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.824942.9%21 W · 28 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick29cpaid+88.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked Over52c4,810$2,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.91825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1fa…8c66backed Under53c4,687$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under54c4,185$2,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.824,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,00015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7725…3d5ebacked Over50c3,765$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32e5…8b41backed Under53c3,706$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,742.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Under52c3,653$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,753.212548%12 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Under52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4403762.2%23 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under53c2,846$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.293857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over49c2,696$1,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.4411146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cc1…f823backed Over27c2,686$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$725.5520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2509151.6%47 W · 44 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Under50c2,051$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,025.53727%10 W · 27 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-51.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over19c2,009$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.0860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2196…da90backed Over51c2,000$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.73540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Over39c1,693$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.116020%12 W · 48 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-47.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf1c0…1f1cbacked Under53c1,509$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Over11c1,388$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.83534.3%12 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+76.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over50c1,376$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.8721957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under59c1,357$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.1223252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb96e…b3a2backed Under53c1,302$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9915851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c06…8478backed Under53c1,242$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.95250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7125…23eebacked Under51c1,235$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under52c1,154$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.854062.5%25 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under51c1,077$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.7335148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013263.6%84 W · 48 L+7.8wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Under51c1,006$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.79580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+72.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc6d7…715dbacked Over9c1,000$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Under52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4806460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2057…14eabacked Under52c957.86$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under53c943.43$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.434040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over49c836.85$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4109564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40022552.4%118 W · 107 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Under53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.723161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Under52c723.85$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.841464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over40c684.16$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.343,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over35c604.08$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21222939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c599.94$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.9712954.3%70 W · 59 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c598.52$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.3332945.6%150 W · 179 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under51c585.74$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.7789350.1%447 W · 446 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under57c541.42$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.815366%35 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over48c520.83$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over21c518.99$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.9947540.8%194 W · 281 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over12c503.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6022729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.9310145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over47c479.99$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.611741.9%49 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd708…b9d2backed Under53c473.81$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.812470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under51c415.69$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.881,08648.2%523 W · 563 L+18.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Under53c412.26$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.981747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20013054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under51c400$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19622746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19611929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under52c398.08$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…afd0backed Under52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb146…c098backed Under51c373$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.56666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5395…687abacked Over49c361.22$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18012951.9%67 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over50c355$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.51947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under53c354.61$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.5617032.9%56 W · 114 L-0.8wins0.00per pick33cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c353.35$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.4842851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Over44c350$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1556750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over52c346.17$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.0wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+32.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over49c330.12$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.7624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed Under51c312.5$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.187753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under51c310.82$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over52c309$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.681747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15027852.5%146 W · 132 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019750.3%99 W · 98 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15029053.4%155 W · 135 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15032051.3%164 W · 156 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc271…1bfdbacked Over50c287.28$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.643857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over49c287.12$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.693946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb5…d643backed Over49c283.67$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.966756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over18c255.56$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over8c250$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204719.1%9 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-29.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa313…1f26backed Over29c250$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.53040%12 W · 18 L+4.3wins+0.14per pick26cpaid+44.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under49c243.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.232060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+70.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.