Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x39ce7272330dc176b950167e966a0f3f33aee0f46f3cbf4e4e112410c475380f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,065 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 50c | 20,213$10,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,189.5 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Over | 76c | 4,027$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.51 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 3,528$2,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,132 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Over | 48c | 3,466$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.83 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 19c | 3,415$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,778.65 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Over | 77c | 3,247$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.75 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 3,103$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.93 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b09…2c43backed Over | 20c | 2,551$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…1405backed Over | 66c | 2,325$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$799.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 1,662$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.96 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Under | 27c | 1,490$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.28 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…d6a2backed Over | 76c | 1,400$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0515…64cdbacked Over | 73c | 1,370$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.86 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 1,304$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.15 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.6 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Over | 62c | 1,229$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.16 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 3c | 1,201$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1a…0d59backed Over | 72c | 1,147$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +91.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Over | 77c | 1,140$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.5 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.06 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,012$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.63 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea1…f17ebacked Under | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00a0…bf76backed Over | 36c | 758.4$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.38 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Over | 54c | 647.44$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.44 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 23c | 605.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.37 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191a…b47dbacked Under | 2c | 600$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417e…85e4backed Under | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 530.68$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.68 | 286 | 33.9%97 W · 189 L | +19.7wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 27c | 500$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365 | 109 | 24.8%27 W · 82 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Under | 30c | 469$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.76 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked Under | 4c | 465.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 2c | 450$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 93 | 3.2%3 W · 90 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Over | 45c | 444$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.41 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 16c | 362.5$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 339.14$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.68 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 45c | 304.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.74 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 47c | 301$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.53 | 293 | 43.7%128 W · 165 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6da…2b66backed Under | 7c | 300$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…7eacbacked Over | 62c | 300$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 27c | 298.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.47 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad1…4852backed Under | 24c | 296.05$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4926…10dcbacked Over | 76c | 296.05$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f2…7830backed Over | 66c | 280$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.1 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…99adbacked Over | 74c | 268.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.82 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…d581backed Over | 14c | 259.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.04 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Over | 77c | 258.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…4ce5backed Under | 75c | 240$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5460…15b5backed Over | 18c | 231.98$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…d930backed Over | 29c | 231.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.52 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d6…b213backed Over | 46c | 217$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ed…66f7backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…6d3bbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked Over | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.31 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed Over | 80c | 179.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 105 | 79%83 W · 22 L | +22.7wins | +0.22per pick | 57cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 48c | 177.08$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.08 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 73c | 175.34$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 11c | 174.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 26c | 163.69$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 74c | 161.58$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.01 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Under | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 35c | 158.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.76 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 26c | 156.16$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf292…1cc7backed Over | 46c | 150.98$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.53 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 815 | 59%481 W · 334 L | +32.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 66c | 144.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa6…e929backed Over | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 26c | 128.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 365 | 54.5%199 W · 166 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25a…d724backed Under | 28c | 126.49$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…740ebacked Over | 48c | 125.08$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed Over | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 83 | 75.9%63 W · 20 L | +17.2wins | +0.21per pick | 55cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x31ce…88cdbacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 331 | 56.8%188 W · 143 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cae…bf8abacked Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Under | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 326 | 56.7%185 W · 141 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5606…c6a4backed Under | 27c | 116.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 47c | 109.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 497 | 53.7%267 W · 230 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Over | 47c | 107.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.91 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 26c | 106.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 556 | 54.9%305 W · 251 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…cb82backed Over | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Under | 54c | 92.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf830…c2dbbacked Over | 46c | 92.11$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 11c | 91.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.65 | 318 | 49.1%156 W · 162 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0783…73dbbacked Over | 17c | 89.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.