Premier League · resolved market
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfaaaedbbf3b0f20fdfab061aec3dd15f1d04ccc7bca4837f86b14193aba3d165
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $492,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $492,432 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee0d…57abbacked Over | 50c | 294,796$147,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,340.61 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Over | 49c | 69,065$33,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,892.52 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Under | 51c | 58,326$29,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,579.79 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 46,854$23,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,353 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Under | 49c | 40,000$19,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,400 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 49c | 28,018$13,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,289.18 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 21,222$10,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,398.78 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 17,464$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,473.09 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 49c | 15,000$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,650 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…35b9backed Under | 51c | 12,299$6,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked Under | 49c | 12,245$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.9 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Under | 49c | 11,969$5,865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,104.39 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Under | 51c | 10,382$5,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,087.18 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 49c | 9,306$4,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,701.97 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f15…599fbacked Under | 49c | 8,435$4,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,301.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.27 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Under | 51c | 7,000$3,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,430 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | +20.5wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Under | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 330 | 57%188 W · 142 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…6947backed Under | 51c | 4,780$2,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 51c | 4,346$2,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.76 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 4,044$2,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,022 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked Over | 2c | 4,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 51c | 3,900$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2840…fb26backed Over | 50c | 3,611$1,812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,812.48 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -42%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 51c | 3,410$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,670.77 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 3,158$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.1 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe39…5c3cbacked Under | 53c | 3,142$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 3,060$1,469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,591.01 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x672a…abb7backed Over | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Under | 49c | 2,731$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,392.61 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Over | 49c | 2,532$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 2,285$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.47 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Under | 50c | 2,253$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.45 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Over | 48c | 2,079$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.93 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 1,554$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.46 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x598b…f296backed Under | 52c | 1,500$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 1,328$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ff…d7afbacked Over | 42c | 1,067$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.2 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 42cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 52c | 1,040$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.82 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Under | 49c | 1,014$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.25 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +6.7wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +13.8wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +42%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…6c02backed Under | 52c | 915.41$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa735…4afabacked Over | 55c | 856.02$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 369 | 56.9%210 W · 159 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed Over | 50c | 751.32$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ec…427dbacked Under | 52c | 733.67$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.16 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 40c | 678.58$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.07 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 51c | 599.94$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.97 | 232 | 58.2%135 W · 97 L | +13.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Under | 52c | 576$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.48 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Over | 52c | 563.21$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.87 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 32cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Over | 19c | 510$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 133 | 27.1%36 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Over | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 463.34$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 58c | 435$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Under | 52c | 429.18$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.01 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…d1ffbacked Under | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 65c | 382.69$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.46 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +16.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed Over | 20c | 355.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.29 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 50c | 352.83$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.78 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 50c | 321.9$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.37 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 43c | 312.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.45 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 655 | 57.7%378 W · 277 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 350 | 56.9%199 W · 151 L | +20.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 599 | 58.9%353 W · 246 L | +26.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 605 | 57.5%348 W · 257 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Under | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 49c | 284.82$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…1290backed Under | 50c | 243.73$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 232.67$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.99 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6768…692dbacked Under | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c3…3a41backed Under | 53c | 230.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 49c | 225.38$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.94 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dde…2c06backed Over | 47c | 219.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.35 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 51c | 214.13$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.87 | 390 | 52.6%205 W · 185 L | +19.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 157 | 72%113 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313d…6f98backed Under | 49c | 204$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Under | 49c | 201.76$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 362 | 59.1%214 W · 148 L | +23.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…d09cbacked Over | 55c | 182.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Under | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
- Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)Everton FC won
- Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)Arsenal FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.