Premier League · resolved market
Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x97357f0641e0b8bbc70dbedd8a756002ff092150aee968ba091c5344083de4d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Under | 0c | 44,340$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.96 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fd…8c6dbacked Over | 64c | 18,311$11,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,653.64 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.7wins | -0.28per pick | 51cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 6,430$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.95 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 40c | 5,750$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 4,283$1,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.78 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 26c | 3,745$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.66 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over | 63c | 3,252$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,193.31 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 36c | 3,235$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.86 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 54c | 3,000$1,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.57 | 126 | 42.9%54 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 2,860$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.57 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…c691backed Under | 49c | 2,726$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.57 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ad6…caadbacked Over | 61c | 2,042$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.89 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…07c2backed Under | 53c | 1,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb47f…d792backed Over | 65c | 1,540$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 15c | 1,453$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.68 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Under | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 66c | 984.85$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.85 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 42c | 897.8$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.27 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…febcbacked Over | 67c | 846.22$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.25 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Over | 66c | 762.47$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.47 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 53c | 728.97$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.62 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Under | 29c | 568$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.47 | 111 | 25.2%28 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 35c | 557.04$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.01 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c7…fb64backed Under | 51c | 538.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Over | 65c | 508.4$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.94 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 36c | 506.03$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.29 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…8fd8backed Over | 49c | 479.1$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.34 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 59c | 451.23$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 67c | 444.44$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.46 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 43c | 420.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 43c | 420.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 43c | 420.82$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.14 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 43c | 414.8$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 37c | 392$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.21 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Over | 64c | 390.63$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 68c | 370.26$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.26 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 17c | 370$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under | 38c | 325.76$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 38c | 322.32$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 29c | 317.23$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x675f…aa0bbacked Under | 47c | 306.94$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ece…8786backed Over | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 37c | 301.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 306 | 45.8%140 W · 166 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Over | 76c | 286.21$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Under | 36c | 270.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 70c | 264.94$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.19 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 40c | 258.15$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.06 | 137 | 48.9%67 W · 70 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 36c | 254.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.61 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 49c | 252.73$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.89 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 40c | 252.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 36c | 229.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.64 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 76c | 214.87$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…9959backed Over | 62c | 204.09$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…399abacked Under | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +110.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 35c | 189.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 79c | 178.28$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 407 | 21.9%89 W · 318 L | -53.3wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1073…d8babacked Under | 34c | 178.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 33c | 177.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.58 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 54c | 175.17$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Under | 41c | 172.93$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 36c | 169.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 286 | 54.2%155 W · 131 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 13c | 151.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 207 | 63.8%132 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 145.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.02 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…e772backed Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e59…cc2ebacked Under | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 119.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 552 | 54.5%301 W · 251 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 110.81$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.88 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x758e…ad1cbacked Under | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9691…c6e7backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -17.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b8ccbacked Under | 34c | 99.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 36c | 95.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…0155backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7037…7cc8backed Under | 14c | 71.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 62c | 70$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 37c | 67.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 61c | 66.72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Over | 62c | 65.53$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 48c | 65.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0e…c7a6backed Over | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 250 | 57.6%144 W · 106 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a2d…6db9backed Over | 62c | 59.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…5403backed Under | 27c | 59.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Under | 18c | 58.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)Manchester City FC won
- Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)Manchester City FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.