TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9f26…b8cc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. Karlsruher SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.99
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$54
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 15 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 4 Winnerbacked Gaimin Gladiators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.16
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs NRG - Map 1 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Voca - Map 2 Winnerbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$21.63
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$36
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-62.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick30cpaid+134.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.