CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc866bd1326918205045fe86ea72f9c07e6977c1ee160542f14dc0317bcd9fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof paiN, Gaimin Gladiators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Gaimin Gladiators | 44c | 1,420$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.42 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed paiN | 56c | 1,330$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.8 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Gaimin Gladiators | 33c | 449.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed paiN | 57c | 400$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 463 | 45.6%211 W · 252 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 37c | 372.54$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.25 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed paiN | 59c | 318.02$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.39 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed paiN | 67c | 264.8$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 231 | 61.5%142 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b8ccbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 36c | 256$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked paiN | 64c | 250.47$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.17 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Gaimin Gladiators | 42c | 231.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.5 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked paiN | 50c | 228$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Gaimin Gladiators | 50c | 218.84$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked paiN | 60c | 114.73$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed paiN | 44c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Gaimin Gladiators | 71c | 83.58$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06f0…ad99backed Gaimin Gladiators | 63c | 60.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gaimin Gladiators | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ac…0317backed Gaimin Gladiators | 54c | 49.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Gaimin Gladiators | 38c | 42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…a1d3backed Gaimin Gladiators | 54c | 39.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 265 | 64.2%170 W · 95 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed paiN | 61c | 35.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…9edabacked paiN | 75c | 23.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 60 | 71.7%43 W · 17 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…7ea5backed paiN | 67c | 20.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked paiN | 79c | 14.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 4 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO5) - Betboom Circuit X Mayhem São Paulo PlayoffspaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 2 WinnerGaimin Gladiators won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Gaimin Gladiators - Map 3 WinnerpaiN won
- Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Gaimin Gladiators (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.