Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8308b43772725131846a75be5d01af26d01ce42645fdcf63b8f14ffe39e68d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No | 62c | 3,476$2,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,155.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 3,421$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980.9 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 61c | 1,640$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.55 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4160…e42dbacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.87 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 848.56$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.55 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 830.17$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.56 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 29c | 771.49$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.96 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked No | 16c | 707.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.01 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 36c | 634.71$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.71 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed No | 38c | 565.43$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.09 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 33c | 537.42$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.87 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes | 59c | 514.97$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 58c | 509.26$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.89 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 36c | 416.11$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.31 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 396.55$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.53 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 35c | 374.98$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.74 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…63febacked Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 61c | 331.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.69 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 76c | 329.59$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.52 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129b…190abacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked Yes | 35c | 278.61$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.1 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…850abacked Yes | 67c | 270.63$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 35c | 210.6$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.88 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 37c | 200$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7018…290abacked Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 54c | 199.95$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.98 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes | 59c | 199.91$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…493dbacked Yes | 59c | 195$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +34%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 66c | 158.43$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.89 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f11…4529backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 79c | 144.27$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 38c | 142.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 137.28$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 67c | 131.98$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 58c | 124.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 58c | 124.66$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.76 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 59c | 121$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.19 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 58c | 116.56$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b8ccbacked Yes | 36c | 99.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes | 55c | 99.89$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes | 65c | 93.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 27c | 92.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x065b…547fbacked Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d29…c9eebacked No | 41c | 89.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 66c | 89.16$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.05 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 62c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 35c | 78.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 65c | 76.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 64c | 69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2915…a070backed No | 65c | 68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…26ecbacked No | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1,654.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 63c | 56.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 37c | 56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 37c | 54.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 53.83$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 63c | 53.14$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 65c | 49.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 185 | 54.1%100 W · 85 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 65c | 47.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 137 | 54%74 W · 63 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes | 65c | 44.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +58.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 65c | 44.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 59c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked No | 44c | 40.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…18f9backed No | 65c | 38.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 37c | 37.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 54c | 35.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.14 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked No | 64c | 33.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Yes | 39c | 32.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Yes | 57c | 30.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Yes | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Yes | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 47c | 22.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Yes | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 59c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf end in a draw?No won
- Will TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.