TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-04-04?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,757
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,757 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc7fb…e5fdbacked No62c3,476$2,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,155.36425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c3,421$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,980.91,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes61c1,640$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.552454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4160…e42dbacked No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.872729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+26.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No41c848.56$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.5540744.5%181 W · 226 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No47c830.17$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.563,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No29c771.49$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.9648141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked No16c707.54$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.013125.8%8 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-35.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes36c634.71$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.7138055.8%212 W · 168 L-0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed No38c565.43$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.092626.9%7 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c537.42$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.872,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b7d…866bbacked Yes59c514.97$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.084161%25 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes58c509.26$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.896546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes36c416.11$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.319043.3%39 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No48c396.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.5378248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes35c374.98$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7448146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed Yes61c331.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.692867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+18.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes76c329.59$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.521,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x129b…190abacked Yes62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes35c278.61$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.17755.8%43 W · 34 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc38d…850abacked Yes67c270.63$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes35c210.6$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8849647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12611741.9%49 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes56c199.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.991450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Yes54c199.95$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9811252.7%59 W · 53 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes59c199.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x383f…493dbacked Yes59c195$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.95475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5444…bbdabacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491275%9 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+34%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes66c158.43$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8911762.4%73 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f11…4529backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes79c144.27$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.93751.4%19 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c142.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.391,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No63c137.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1662452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes67c131.98$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2155058.7%323 W · 227 L+23.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No58c124.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.7611148.6%54 W · 57 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked No58c124.66$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.767450%37 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed No59c121$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.196952.2%36 W · 33 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No58c116.56$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0417749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625834.5%20 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+43.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9f26…b8ccbacked Yes36c99.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9ba…cf54backed Yes55c99.89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.95650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f66…1f8cbacked Yes65c93.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.851361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No27c92.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9928822.6%65 W · 223 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x065b…547fbacked Yes44c90.91$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.91862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked No41c89.57$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.081850%9 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes66c89.16$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0581732.8%268 W · 549 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Yes62c80$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.422562.2%140 W · 85 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.634655.5%192 W · 154 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes35c78.64$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1163645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No65c76.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.618547.1%40 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No65c76.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.617751.9%40 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No65c76.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.6120548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No65c76.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.617349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes35c71.43$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.431428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No64c69$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1656951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2915…a070backed No65c68$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x585a…26ecbacked No38c65.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+1,654.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Yes59c59.32$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.329447.9%45 W · 49 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No63c56.41$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3511049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes37c56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2811748.7%57 W · 60 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes36c55.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.563138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18c…0350backed Yes37c54.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361442.9%6 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No63c53.83$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9124541.6%102 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No63c53.14$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.666844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3101…e57fbacked No56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282347.8%11 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8efb…c73ebacked Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.46645.5%30 W · 36 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No65c49.48$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1618554.1%100 W · 85 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked No65c47.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.562759.3%16 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4513754%74 W · 63 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…46e5backed Yes65c44.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked No65c44.08$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.653161.3%19 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+42.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes59c42.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.462532%8 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked No44c40.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.931361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+39.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.81,08350.8%550 W · 533 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No65c38.46$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257749.4%38 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed No65c38.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.83850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+100.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Yes37c37.14$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0420540%82 W · 123 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd78d…81e0backed Yes54c35.09$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.143138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a7…f2b7backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.92962.1%18 W · 11 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+48.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked No64c33.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.263655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+24.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Yes39c32.04$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.54666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+58.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Yes57c30.68$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.152147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb63a…7637backed Yes58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.66369.8%44 W · 19 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5699…418dbacked Yes63c29.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.12462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick67cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x16fe…9496backed Yes59c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2515854.4%86 W · 72 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Yes64c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95563.6%35 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed No47c22.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.544753.2%25 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd42…9588backed Yes64c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.311250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.827554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes59c18.64$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.644971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.634261.9%26 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.