Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4846971e36e193f40f8ec1d9da662fb6ed3dd0eb7f5eb6ea7a6e64b2c56dea5c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,681
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Zero Tenacity | 15c | 5,794$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.83 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed GamerLegion | 68c | 2,986$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.15 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 1,185$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.89 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Zero Tenacity | 6c | 1,135$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.24 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Zero Tenacity | 28c | 1,010$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.12 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity | 34c | 868.56$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.31 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed GamerLegion | 77c | 438.58$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.87 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked GamerLegion | 80c | 413.33$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9332…a3dbbacked Zero Tenacity | 6c | 224.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 760 | 48.6%369 W · 391 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Zero Tenacity | 13c | 221.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 208 | 58.7%122 W · 86 L | +22.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Zero Tenacity | 10c | 199.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion | 62c | 163.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Zero Tenacity | 30c | 159.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed GamerLegion | 79c | 145.83$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.44 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed GamerLegion | 65c | 126.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.85 | 204 | 57.8%118 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Zero Tenacity | 29c | 122.53$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed GamerLegion | 70c | 115.67$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.7 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b8ccbacked Zero Tenacity | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 96.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Zero Tenacity | 25c | 95.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf5…c393backed Zero Tenacity | 21c | 86.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Zero Tenacity | 26c | 69.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Zero Tenacity | 38c | 38.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked GamerLegion | 74c | 37.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5170…b6b8backed GamerLegion | 60c | 22.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group AGamerLegion won
- Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity - Game 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.