TailMyPicks

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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
GamerLegionof GamerLegion, Zero Tenacity
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$22,105
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,950

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,105 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Zero Tenacity21c5,198$1,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,096.712,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed GamerLegion78c5,176$4,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,132.4556852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Zero Tenacity20c1,040$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.382,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Zero Tenacity24c989.44$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.291,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Zero Tenacity13c813.15$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6970052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Zero Tenacity13c724.36$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7923746.8%111 W · 126 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Zero Tenacity25c689.46$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.248728.7%25 W · 62 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked Zero Tenacity37c587.98$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.7220827.9%58 W · 150 L-11.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd537…0f7cbacked GamerLegion76c427.23$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.9320452.9%108 W · 96 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfbb2…0b31backed GamerLegion70c402.01$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.118246.3%38 W · 44 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed Zero Tenacity37c388.71$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3451550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d2ffbacked GamerLegion62c346.75$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed GamerLegion69c344.45$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3115147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed Zero Tenacity5c335.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zero Tenacity5c284.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.262,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed GamerLegion68c260.71$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.7817353.2%92 W · 81 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x094a…e4a9backed Zero Tenacity28c226.28$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed GamerLegion62c177.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.8287645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed GamerLegion77c168.37$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5819242.7%82 W · 110 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed GamerLegion62c157.92$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.24759.6%28 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Zero Tenacity19c156.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.916144.3%27 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked GamerLegion64c152.88$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0435461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked Zero Tenacity42c139.11$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2409…215ebacked GamerLegion75c131.33$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.832759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed GamerLegion78c129.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.624955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked Zero Tenacity13c115.64$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1467043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x156b…c533backed GamerLegion75c112.95$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.246163.9%39 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86bc…efbcbacked GamerLegion69c112.86$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9923555.7%131 W · 104 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed GamerLegion65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked GamerLegion63c99.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9922845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Zero Tenacity24c99.05$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3736138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x912e…0eaebacked Zero Tenacity12c98.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.837424.3%18 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-33.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed GamerLegion70c98.31$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5820452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Zero Tenacity22c95.49$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0150032.2%161 W · 339 L-47.1wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc55d…9fd8backed GamerLegion72c88.76$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.854955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Zero Tenacity25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Zero Tenacity13c76.93$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Zero Tenacity40c65.2$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.031844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed GamerLegion68c50.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.234045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Zero Tenacity34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.257255.6%40 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x839f…c2cebacked GamerLegion64c46.1$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7519951.8%103 W · 96 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed GamerLegion66c44.57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1916752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d72…5f50backed GamerLegion72c41.66$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Zero Tenacity36c41.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd689…57d9backed GamerLegion62c41.04$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.653458.8%20 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe84…54ddbacked Zero Tenacity28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.28056.3%45 W · 35 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13af…b19fbacked Zero Tenacity37c36.41$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.476460.9%39 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x60d8…85f8backed Zero Tenacity33c35.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.65650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d6…b7b5backed GamerLegion62c31.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.983342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked GamerLegion66c29.68$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0910766.4%71 W · 36 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked GamerLegion72c27.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6576048.6%369 W · 391 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed GamerLegion64c24.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7916456.7%93 W · 71 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x252f…2561backed GamerLegion63c21.68$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9731659.8%189 W · 127 L+18.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a8…6764backed GamerLegion62c17.34$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.59728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.