Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c4109553b062ba20856b3287f73f131760ffb9081d62d44e289359fed9dc7cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $283,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $298,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $283,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 32c | 69,642$22,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,379.82 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.33per pick | 51cpaid | -67%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 47c | 42,000$19,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,774.72 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 35,988$21,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,797.05 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes | 0c | 25,633$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…6fc0backed No | 57c | 17,944$10,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,642.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 68c | 14,932$10,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,822.28 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 14,695$9,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,247.35 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Yes | 0c | 11,271$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 6c | 5,519$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,166.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 36cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 57c | 4,980$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.18 | 125 | 56%70 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed No | 68c | 4,500$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c9…09f8backed No | 66c | 4,366$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 44c | 4,214$1,858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.23 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 32c | 4,059$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 68c | 4,000$2,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 67c | 3,500$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.04 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 57c | 3,275$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.22 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 3,113$2,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.71 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.9 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes | 50c | 2,721$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 54c | 2,407$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,299.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 25c | 2,214$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.38 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 66c | 2,202$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.36 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 66c | 2,202$1,451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.36 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 66c | 2,200$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.05 | 95 | 58.9%56 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.97 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 68c | 1,875$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 34c | 1,833$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 1,796$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.68 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 45c | 1,700$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.43 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 32c | 1,668$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.29 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef88…29a3backed Yes | 20c | 1,579$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed No | 62c | 1,545$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 77c | 1,515$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161.91 | 150 | 71.3%107 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 66c | 1,509$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.76 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 68c | 1,441$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.12 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 55c | 1,406$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.77 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,400$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.49 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 48c | 1,351$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.99 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 51cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 1,350$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.5 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 6c | 1,342$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,261.69 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 74c | 1,227$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.64 | 188 | 47.9%90 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 62c | 1,067$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.1 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 41c | 1,063$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.23 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 38c | 1,053$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 33c | 1,030$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 1,019$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.69 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…2b3abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +139.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes | 30c | 999.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Yes | 32c | 999.92$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 945.52$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.75 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 38c | 900.52$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.79 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 67c | 883.12$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.43 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 62c | 853.16$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.93 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 25c | 787.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 32c | 786.12$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.56 | 240 | 44.2%106 W · 134 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 68c | 750$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 67c | 742.9$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.91 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 68c | 737.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.71 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 68c | 735.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.44 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Yes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…1c1abacked No | 4c | 717$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +1,097.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 59c | 691.84$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.27 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 67c | 613$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.51 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked No | 68c | 610.11$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 607.34$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.37 | 260 | 41.9%109 W · 151 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 126 | 47.6%60 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked No | 61c | 513.54$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0168…0905backed Yes | 44c | 511.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 32c | 500.39$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Yes | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 68c | 499.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.75 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4457…f3e2backed Yes | 34c | 499.95$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Yes | 32c | 493.5$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Yes | 41c | 485.71$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 452.81$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed No | 68c | 443.62$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 68c | 441.16$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.17 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 54c | 424.59$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed No | 68c | 420.11$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.48 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 68c | 420$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked No | 68c | 418.32$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.24 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed No | 69c | 405$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.55 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked No | 44c | 404.09$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 23c | 397.74$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.95 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 66c | 380.72$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e11…e1f5backed No | 44c | 379.09$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will FC Metz vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.