TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$161,196
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,196 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked No61c56,400$34,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,1961118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-67%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No61c25,046$15,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,686.881957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes38c17,861$6,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,697.7662648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes39c15,145$5,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,957.2852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes12c12,717$1,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,581.465238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes35c10,660$3,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,694.9324349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c75…b299backed No63c7,937$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,936.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes37c7,160$2,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,649.3721143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes40c5,535$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21423250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed Yes38c5,000$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9001136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003231.3%10 W · 22 L-5.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-34.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes40c4,813$1,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,926742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes39c4,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5604057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes38c3,359$1,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,278.0287344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes39c3,105$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.9419055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes39c2,221$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.2230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7804250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes39c2,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6006…13afbacked Yes38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes38c1,350$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5136141%25 W · 36 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Yes38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004544.4%20 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes39c1,276$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.3171140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes40c1,200$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.3620150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes13c1,075$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.8335650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14eb…b7f6backed Yes12c999.95$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes39c862.01$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.1827748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.459458.5%55 W · 39 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Yes39c800$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.2wins+0.35per pick54cpaid+73.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes37c789$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.938143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes39c750.25$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.614654.1%79 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Yes40c697.57$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.034348.8%21 W · 22 L-4.9wins-0.11per pick60cpaid-21.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes39c612.01$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.6827049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes38c589.94$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.187946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No66c552$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+24.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d1f…a252backed Yes38c513.97$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.3140%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes37c500$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1855745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Yes38c493.53$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5440%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes40c450$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Yes39c434.15$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.611040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No69c427.39$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.665129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes13c399.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6135037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes39c395.4$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2133148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes39c363.22$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.3826041.9%109 W · 151 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes40c359.96$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.21729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa44a…88ecbacked No63c355.52$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.544100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11714045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x121f…4765backed Yes12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe6aa…8882backed Yes25c283.61$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.183912.8%5 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes8c260.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3818847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Yes11c258.35$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.61526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick19cpaid+57.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes39c200.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.54940.8%20 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104723.4%11 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-31.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No74c196.94$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.859863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Yes39c179.75$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.13943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No62c163.26$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.042445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked No62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.298247.6%39 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes39c157.66$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4912647.6%60 W · 66 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No60c151.1$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.9938056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c150.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.0224044.2%106 W · 134 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa577…0725backed Yes10c142.83$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick28cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes37c142.41$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6928448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes38c137.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.193336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes39c130.94$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.3923342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e70…0362backed Yes8c125.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2059…4d1fbacked Yes38c115.79$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bfc…18e3backed Yes36c112.27$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Yes38c110$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.83745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Yes39c105.03$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.963351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x166e…3303backed Yes19c102.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621030%3 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-30.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No63c100$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377556%42 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Yes40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+77.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes39c97.64$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0818245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No68c93.54$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4815951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes38c92.11$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Yes37c90.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.663154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes29c80$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.214544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f7…ada9backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-33%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301030%3 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.26per pick56cpaid-53.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes34c73.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-56.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes40c71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.412147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes39c66.02$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6720454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…cf14backed Yes40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5676…7da7backed Yes40c56.85$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.741361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes39c55.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.89661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes38c54.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.532825%7 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes39c52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2846450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52128.6%6 W · 15 L-5.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes39c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.410855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes39c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.639767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2921…1706backed Yes29c48.38$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x417c…63c5backed Yes39c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e76…47fabacked Yes39c47.31$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.299467%63 W · 31 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes23c45.8$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5916224.1%39 W · 123 L-13.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-42.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x046c…ab87backed Yes36c44.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3565…0b17backed Yes39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x57a6…44edbacked Yes39c37.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.693948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-25.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No64c37.47$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.491464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No62c36.4$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.833461.8%21 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.