TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will FC Metz vs. FC Nantes end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$45,603
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,603 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8790…010bbacked Yes7c4,338$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,047.185040%20 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b8…933ebacked No71c2,817$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd087…c3adbacked Yes30c2,723$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.332100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+133.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6580…6fa8backed Yes30c2,165$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.471926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed No66c2,156$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.15238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No24c1,666$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.5426660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes34c1,658$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.1824349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes75c1,047$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.7526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked No1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13224.5%1 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick4cpaid+139.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed No1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes41c884.25$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.7135650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No3c834.53$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2911916.8%20 W · 99 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No70c648$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.68254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No71c605$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.55728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-53%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c579.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.674122%9 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No70c476.65$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.6571140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c439$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.881,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No70c414.01$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.7952550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80aa…e8eabacked No4c351.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.65520%1 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes30c333.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.333438.2%13 W · 21 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes66c321.22$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.8618847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes30c316.67$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.673256.3%18 W · 14 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+34.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No34c306.91$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.4813246.2%61 W · 71 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked No41c299.89$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.224170.7%29 W · 12 L+6.3wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+54.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No66c297.85$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.5910938.5%42 W · 67 L-11.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-40.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc493…9200backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.121346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked No26c292.65$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.097149.3%35 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes29c258.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.675554.5%30 W · 25 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes76c253.15$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7426040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No52c242.59$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.485129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes48c217.35$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.0535037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes56c212.56$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No71c211.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.3238056.6%215 W · 165 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cfc…7f6bbacked Yes8c201.1$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+524.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…c46abacked Yes42c200$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.74333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes71c197$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2127049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No58c189$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.4118046.7%84 W · 96 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No68c166.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.212944.8%13 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x030d…8e95backed No12c165.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.861127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x482c…4da1backed Yes30c165.03$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.52333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bea…038ebacked Yes11c162.28$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.54per pick13cpaid+534.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2116…eb8fbacked Yes15c142.07$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.083100%3 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+469.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No71c140$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.84858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9da…f7d9backed No33c135.61$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-23.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes29c135.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.953336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes68c133.5$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes29c119.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.230448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.657343.8%32 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+34.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed No28c114.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5917817.4%31 W · 147 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-34.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No70c114.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.325763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No70c114.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.328058.8%47 W · 33 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No70c114.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.325463%34 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No70c114.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.329960.6%60 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No70c114.74$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.323458.8%20 W · 14 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8209…bff8backed Yes36c111.39$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.444100%4 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+150.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c108.29$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+29.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7118245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed No40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.30per pick43cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6922340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x121f…4765backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick25cpaid-63.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No65c89.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.415951.6%82 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes65c84.42$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9427748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked No70c80.61$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.474060%24 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes33c80$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.61566.7%10 W · 5 L+5.7wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+134.5%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No59c77$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.75261.5%32 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafc4…daa1backed No16c74.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.981822.2%4 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+282.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44af…f0e7backed Yes25c72.75$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Yes30c72.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.42633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…50c8backed Yes29c68.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.973850%19 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+40.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes45c66.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7614544.8%65 W · 80 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Yes30c66.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.674151.2%21 W · 20 L+5.3wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+32%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed No71c60.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87de…42bfbacked Yes30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No70c60$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422955.2%16 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Yes34c59.32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.325356.6%30 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked No26c55.04$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Yes29c54.77$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.894148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2b2…6b3fbacked Yes73c54.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes29c53.43$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7620454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes29c52$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9246450.4%234 W · 230 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bb…2753backed Yes29c51.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.724450%22 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes29c50.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.169661.5%59 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a24…3845backed Yes30c50.02$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.269767%65 W · 32 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.510855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6c…e9a0backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6caa…4fb3backed Yes30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick29cpaid+122.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7794…4e43backed Yes31c47.58$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.83580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+89.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No70c45.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.125251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbdaf…e58fbacked No71c42.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dda…8799backed No71c42.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick69cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes28c41.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7635157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc2d4…d21fbacked No26c41.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2823342.5%99 W · 134 L-11.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef8…1583backed Yes30c40$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No70c37$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.97949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36de…ea85backed No52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1560%0 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Yes30c34$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed No70c32.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.694250%21 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86e0…83e8backed Yes34c30.44$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.091100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.