Bundesliga · resolved market
Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4a431ae0b7680b918f74529e6494b916323186e5f95a24ee9f840af9ec15e2f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,967
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $112,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,967 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ba8…cdb3backed No | 60c | 25,555$15,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,333 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Yes | 40c | 24,821$9,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,892.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 44c | 20,861$9,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,697.68 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 76c | 14,161$10,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,778.37 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 7,860$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,466.74 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 39c | 5,746$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,483.39 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 4,702$1,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,774.6 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 25c | 3,722$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,798.65 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8d…a19bbacked No | 75c | 1,400$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 25c | 1,045$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.51 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 34c | 599.74$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.72 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 582.66$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.38 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 36c | 569.17$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.62 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Yes | 47c | 554.96$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Yes | 39c | 553.93$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.05 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 37c | 549.2$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.29 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 44c | 506.98$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.83 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Yes | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.19 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Yes | 38c | 472.11$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.71 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 41c | 469.73$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.14 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Yes | 40c | 458.75$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.79 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 16c | 450.44$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d91…df18backed Yes | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb897…fc48backed Yes | 24c | 410$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.6 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 25c | 379.42$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.86 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7f…657ebacked Yes | 32c | 356.25$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.04 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 27c | 347.42$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 40c | 331.11$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.61 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 55c | 290.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.65 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 258$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 39c | 254.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked Yes | 42c | 237.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Yes | 39c | 230$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.3 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bec…c707backed Yes | 40c | 206.6$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 56c | 201.23$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 40c | 194.22$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.79 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Yes | 44c | 184.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 31c | 171.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.16 | 124 | 60.5%75 W · 49 L | +19.9wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 78c | 171.6$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.75 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cc…1958backed Yes | 44c | 170.47$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 163.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.08 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Yes | 42c | 156.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.24 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 20c | 156$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.71 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 56c | 155.75$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.22 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 59c | 144.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 48c | 141.85$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.61 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 34c | 137.49$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.41 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 76c | 136.97$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.69 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 40c | 131.82$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 39c | 128.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.04 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 59c | 127.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked No | 60c | 123.31$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 28c | 114.26$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.56 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 28c | 107.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.79 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f26…b8ccbacked No | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Yes | 24c | 97.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 91.28$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2bf…95d3backed No | 19c | 91$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…a2d6backed Yes | 50c | 90.43$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +108.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 41c | 77.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 20c | 75.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 50c | 74.81$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…3ea7backed No | 80c | 71.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 40c | 68.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Yes | 32c | 68.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.51 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 39c | 66.96$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1a…5cddbacked Yes | 40c | 64.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 41c | 61.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 46c | 51.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe65b…bde7backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +102.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 67c | 48.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 61c | 46.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…22b6backed Yes | 24c | 45.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.8wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 66c | 44.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.27 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Yes | 40c | 44.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.41 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 74c | 40.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 395 | 58.7%232 W · 163 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 40c | 38.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 43c | 38.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 164 | 64%105 W · 59 L | +28.5wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 54c | 38.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 70c | 36.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 39c | 35.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 38c | 34.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 56c | 33.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 35c | 33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Yes | 42c | 31.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.49 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 41c | 29.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97a8…078dbacked Yes | 41c | 28.85$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yes | 43c | 28.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed No | 61c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 60c | 19.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-04?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld vs. SV Darmstadt 98 end in a draw?No won
- Will SV Darmstadt 98 win on 2026-04-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.