TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$123,727
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,680

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $123,727 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked Over40c95,057$37,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,994.6939249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Under60c55,555$33,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,22223355.4%129 W · 104 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under60c39,947$23,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,978.7422049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under65c2,432$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.783,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over33c1,758$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.2517230.8%53 W · 119 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Over1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161030%0 W · 103 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over34c1,120$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.133,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Over1c1,000$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131943.6%7 W · 187 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-48.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c850$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51973.6%7 W · 190 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-91.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under60c795.66$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.275,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over37c768.46$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.752,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over39c503.62$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.331,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f75…df7fbacked Under74c476.09$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.581471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over27c320.37$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.61,65032.7%540 W · 1,110 L-49.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under61c320.32$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.9360451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.885658.9%33 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+20.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Under61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.883946.2%18 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-11.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Under61c320.2$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.885064%32 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Under69c318.69$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Under61c278.6$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.654555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96e8…3294backed Under71c234.54$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.774153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe303…401abacked Under64c210.52$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.2710447.1%49 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over38c209.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.155261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over38c209.29$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.155466.7%36 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over38c208.01$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.677857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d79…9e95backed Under53c200.41$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.1916349.1%80 W · 83 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Under60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdef1…c0debacked Over40c198.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.481936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Under61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.442259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Under61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.441764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Under61c160.1$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.443461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under74c152.99$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.784975.5%37 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick75cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Under60c146.93$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7725251.2%129 W · 123 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over33c142.45$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.067757.1%44 W · 33 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over33c141.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6421351.2%109 W · 104 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over33c141.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.648552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over33c141.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6411546.1%53 W · 62 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over33c141.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6424544.5%109 W · 136 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over33c141.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6412352.8%65 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over33c141.17$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6410347.6%49 W · 54 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over38c125.32$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.239758.8%57 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceed…f8eebacked Under66c119.28$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9317853.9%96 W · 82 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Over37c104.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.38922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick51cpaid-66.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7335…dd65backed Over37c104.71$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-44.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f26…b8ccbacked Under58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Under61c96.06$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.463458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x642c…21a7backed Over26c95.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7620251%103 W · 99 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b43…433bbacked Over31c90.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.84450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.3311553%61 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Over23c81.6$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363138.7%12 W · 19 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-39.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24ba…d462backed Under50c81.48$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e23…94b2backed Under60c81.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.531681.3%13 W · 3 L+5.2wins+0.32per pick49cpaid+69.6%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Under61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.225556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Over28c80$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.445224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Over24c79.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.666060%36 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over31c76.22$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.663,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cab…52dfbacked Under60c71.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.713100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2921…1706backed Over29c70.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Under71c69.42$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.354439.7%216 W · 328 L-1.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x675c…4341backed Over36c66.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0418748.1%90 W · 97 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Under58c65.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.491,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Over45c63.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.46060%36 W · 24 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over45c63.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.47252.8%38 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Under64c62.5$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2529555.3%163 W · 132 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under61c61.54$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243959%23 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…c986backed Over42c58.95$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over33c56.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.828350.6%42 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over32c51.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.432,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Under65c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.523057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Under60c48.81$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.523056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3334…69b0backed Under61c48.03$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Over38c47.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.041,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd6f…bad3backed Under65c43.49$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.17771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bea…7020backed Over40c43.39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.461637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under60c40.67$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2716444.5%73 W · 91 L-11.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed Under61c40.16$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7432561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under61c40.02$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.613661.1%22 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over32c36.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.991,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc578…5c1ebacked Under67c36.34$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.983357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Under56c35.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.515,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9010…df3ebacked Under71c33.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.657580%60 W · 15 L+6.6wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Over45c32.23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5113350.4%67 W · 66 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe503…6d7bbacked Under61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b52…22cbbacked Under61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Under60c30.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2558745%264 W · 323 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf2…7279backed Under65c30.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.541566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x15bc…29f0backed Under61c30.11$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.741266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe24f…d68abacked Under67c29.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.665164.7%33 W · 18 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ff5…46a2backed Under69c26.24$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.236250%31 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05bc…eabbbacked Over40c26.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.528943.8%39 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x520e…9ed1backed Under70c26.07$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.871258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ec5…5923backed Over45c25.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.36944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…ba2cbacked Under63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.444563.8%284 W · 161 L+19.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4702…c830backed Under58c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.41050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Under60c19.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.999860.2%59 W · 39 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under60c19.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.996756.7%38 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc741…73f6backed Under60c19.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0974…cc93backed Under52c19.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.322055%11 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9c4…b937backed Under78c19.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.23944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5011…6237backed Under57c17.69$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.613855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.