TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Alpha

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,854
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$87,119

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,854 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9734…bfd8backed Bilibili Gaming74c14,305$10,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,658.419257.8%111 W · 81 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Bilibili Gaming65c5,675$3,689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,986.1954751.2%280 W · 267 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked JD Gaming35c4,668$1,634 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,633.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked JD Gaming30c3,583$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.3261035.9%219 W · 391 L-17.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked JD Gaming34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9915850%79 W · 79 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed JD Gaming33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.8916952.1%88 W · 81 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed JD Gaming30c2,263$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68924946.2%115 W · 134 L-0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed JD Gaming32c2,250$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72041734.8%145 W · 272 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Bilibili Gaming72c1,827$1,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e15…7531backed JD Gaming31c1,799$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.7233348.3%161 W · 172 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd74…76b9backed Bilibili Gaming72c1,772$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.433938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Bilibili Gaming69c1,414$982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.0111458.8%67 W · 47 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed JD Gaming17c1,283$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.4546326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked JD Gaming29c1,270$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5736138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd138…3140backed Bilibili Gaming68c1,137$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked JD Gaming30c933.85$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.36863.2%43 W · 25 L+10.3wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+34.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked JD Gaming14c871$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.449133%30 W · 61 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Bilibili Gaming66c845.99$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.649644.8%43 W · 53 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Bilibili Gaming69c784.36$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.5614252.8%75 W · 67 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed JD Gaming13c775.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8623146.8%108 W · 123 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed JD Gaming31c753.3$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.186346%29 W · 34 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+16.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Bilibili Gaming66c652.41$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.8232141.7%134 W · 187 L-16.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked JD Gaming34c642.69$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8229733.3%99 W · 198 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Bilibili Gaming66c597.56$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.179651%49 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked JD Gaming14c565$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.28828.4%25 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-34.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked JD Gaming28c547.01$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.4288844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed JD Gaming16c527.43$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7641537.1%154 W · 261 L-26.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked JD Gaming19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964438.6%17 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6bb…6b39backed JD Gaming19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963444.1%15 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb98d…c479backed JD Gaming19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962846.4%13 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa348…a488backed Bilibili Gaming74c491.84$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.63955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed JD Gaming29c400$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.7823733.8%80 W · 157 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+11.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed JD Gaming10c394.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.616725.4%17 W · 50 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x26e3…0b75backed Bilibili Gaming66c374.89$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.4610551.4%54 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed JD Gaming19c366$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.2426730.7%82 W · 185 L-13.9wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Bilibili Gaming66c353.76$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.2814158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Bilibili Gaming72c321.14$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.894835.4%17 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c15…45a0backed Bilibili Gaming74c315.44$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+56%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked JD Gaming14c300$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.46924.6%17 W · 52 L-6.8wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-46.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Bilibili Gaming66c293.88$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9217349.7%86 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed JD Gaming20c270$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.813035.4%46 W · 84 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed JD Gaming19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.84143.9%18 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed JD Gaming16c250$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405646.4%26 W · 30 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+4.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed JD Gaming19c248$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.525738.6%22 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed JD Gaming19c248$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.521546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked JD Gaming9c208.67$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3845033.8%152 W · 298 L-35.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-32.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Bilibili Gaming72c205.52$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.0842540.5%172 W · 253 L-22.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed JD Gaming34c200.51$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1725556.1%143 W · 112 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed JD Gaming30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6025347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed JD Gaming11c189.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.835331.2%110 W · 243 L-29.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed JD Gaming21c184.59$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.621,74646.2%806 W · 940 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed JD Gaming14c173$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.081926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba58…6d74backed Bilibili Gaming69c170.68$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.9125555.7%142 W · 113 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac5…cab7backed JD Gaming20c169.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347948.1%38 W · 41 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+27.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7845…417bbacked Bilibili Gaming70c165.24$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed JD Gaming35c164.73$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.668134.6%28 W · 53 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5cdf…8666backed JD Gaming16c160$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.69438.3%36 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x537d…615bbacked JD Gaming32c153.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.112634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-32.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d72…a791backed JD Gaming25c152.84$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.34953.1%26 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fc…76d7backed JD Gaming25c149.01$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.741050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Bilibili Gaming66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.4634857.5%200 W · 148 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked JD Gaming35c147.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4533753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Bilibili Gaming66c143.39$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7554342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked JD Gaming34c143.16$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.014641.3%19 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Bilibili Gaming75c134.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6935142.5%149 W · 202 L-14.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed JD Gaming19c133$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5215839.2%62 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fc…affbbacked Bilibili Gaming77c127.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.127252.8%38 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked JD Gaming14c126.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3919661.7%121 W · 75 L+20.0wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+11.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Bilibili Gaming80c120.98$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6316842.3%71 W · 97 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked JD Gaming12c118.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.161,60137.5%600 W · 1,001 L-75.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked JD Gaming28c110$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9334847.4%165 W · 183 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked JD Gaming13c100.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.591,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96a5…08c5backed JD Gaming30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f26…b8ccbacked Bilibili Gaming66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed JD Gaming29c99.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc8f…d0e4backed JD Gaming11c97.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.482133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick20cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Bilibili Gaming78c96.75$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0737545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed JD Gaming34c96.04$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed JD Gaming15c94.33$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3934739.8%138 W · 209 L-13.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd4…7401backed JD Gaming18c83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.964020%8 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-57.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed JD Gaming16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811841.5%49 W · 69 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a72…0a38backed JD Gaming16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.813336.8%49 W · 84 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d4…4c46backed JD Gaming16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.812633.3%42 W · 84 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed JD Gaming16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.814436.1%52 W · 92 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b3e…5bc0backed Bilibili Gaming69c71.12$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.056250%31 W · 31 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Bilibili Gaming80c68.8$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9116442.1%69 W · 95 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed JD Gaming29c58.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6157517.7%102 W · 473 L-71.7wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Bilibili Gaming67c51$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8333153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Bilibili Gaming76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1214661.6%90 W · 56 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf21d…2e9abacked Bilibili Gaming69c49.36$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2126758.8%157 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c94…5b86backed JD Gaming34c48.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.332744.4%12 W · 15 L+4.0wins+0.15per pick30cpaid+45.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed JD Gaming30c47.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3723732.9%78 W · 159 L-9.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5170…b6b8backed Bilibili Gaming73c41.07$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick74cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd23d…9d38backed Bilibili Gaming66c37.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2798…a9c7backed Bilibili Gaming67c36.81$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.152665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked JD Gaming30c35.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.781216.7%2 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Bilibili Gaming69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.310142.6%43 W · 58 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Bilibili Gaming68c28.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.236357.1%36 W · 27 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x616f…e14cbacked Bilibili Gaming66c22.26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.573467.6%23 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5875…106abacked Bilibili Gaming67c21.94$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.