Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59d392e38e5f3a6300683f59d2de8b6c4961209662112112aaa9750234828aec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $212,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $212,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 245 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed No | 76c | 24,745$18,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,924.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 24c | 12,310$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.54 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ff…8d60backed Yes | 0c | 10,881$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…931abacked No | 74c | 10,695$7,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,780.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…ef38backed Yes | 22c | 10,179$2,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,237.59 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4084…357abacked Yes | 25c | 10,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8b…11cabacked No | 72c | 10,000$7,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,802.83 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 7,252$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.2 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 24c | 6,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.99 | 59 | 23.7%14 W · 45 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 4,714$3,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.92 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed No | 78c | 4,374$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 25c | 4,177$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.55 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -56%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 27c | 4,088$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,102.58 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 7c | 3,481$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.14 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Yes | 27c | 3,217$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 25c | 3,007$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.75 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 76c | 1,974$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.76 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed No | 73c | 1,934$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…dfe7backed No | 72c | 1,809$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.41 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 76c | 1,714$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.45 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 22c | 1,575$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 24c | 1,424$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.78 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,333$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d9…48a6backed Yes | 28c | 1,300$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 79c | 1,204$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,159$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.87 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…15d2backed Yes | 20c | 1,015$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14eb…b7f6backed Yes | 16c | 1,001$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b9…a41ebacked No | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 26c | 877.65$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.17 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 20c | 819.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.14 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked Yes | 24c | 804.87$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.17 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…1570backed Yes | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 25c | 790$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed No | 79c | 785.73$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed No | 77c | 746.02$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed No | 73c | 742.25$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.41 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Yes | 28c | 657.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 28c | 615$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 24c | 614.68$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.52 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 77c | 613.04$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.08 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 20c | 596.42$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.02 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…66b0backed Yes | 20c | 526$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Yes | 24c | 520.38$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.89 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 77c | 515.96$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.41 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 77c | 511.79$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.36 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -39%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 13c | 498$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.81 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 78c | 482.28$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 467.87$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.72 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 79c | 450.89$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 27c | 426.87$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e78…70c7backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Yes | 24c | 414.4$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.46 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Yes | 27c | 398.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Yes | 26c | 385.34$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 77c | 383.32$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 24c | 370.92$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.02 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 73c | 370$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 332.61$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed No | 75c | 328.88$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 25c | 323.42$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.98 | 194 | 46.4%90 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 72c | 300$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked Yes | 28c | 298.55$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Yes | 7c | 296.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +74.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 296.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.08 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e8…8435backed Yes | 24c | 279.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda68…d77fbacked Yes | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 264.4$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 256.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 23c | 224.19$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 24c | 220$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a4…7d4bbacked Yes | 7c | 215.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ad…241bbacked No | 71c | 211.29$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.28 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed No | 76c | 204$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8101…e7bebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9759…cb52backed Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed No | 78c | 183.32$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed No | 72c | 180.56$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.56 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Yes | 28c | 176.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed No | 80c | 174.13$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d17…55f1backed Yes | 12c | 169.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa361…3ea7backed Yes | 27c | 151.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 76c | 144$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 75cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 27c | 142.9$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed No | 72c | 139.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 135.94$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.