TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,968
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$96,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,968 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4084…357abacked Yes26c9,922$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,321.79250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+90.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c8,837$4,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,129.882,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No72c6,029$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.1775142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes41c4,905$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.573,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No74c4,876$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,608.072955.2%16 W · 13 L-4.6wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-22.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes26c3,462$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,561.54742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No17c3,114$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.235623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf94f…9adabacked Yes71c2,665$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$765.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes72c2,611$1,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.2422669%156 W · 70 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+25.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes19c2,500$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,024.9710445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes28c2,030$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,469.7148141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb619…5068backed Yes26c2,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.955952.5%31 W · 28 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+20.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No25c1,678$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.549143.2%212 W · 279 L-1.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No74c1,504$1,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.963141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes41c1,479$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.0978248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No23c1,469$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.853756.8%21 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x284d…59f7backed No75c1,142$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.5825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc587…1630backed No74c1,084$802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802.263868.4%26 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked No25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504129.3%12 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick24cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.99450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed No73c957.53$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6991650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes26c780.77$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.7715540.6%63 W · 92 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No74c737.2$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.5329855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes26c681.12$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.0769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No74c669.45$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.393534.3%12 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No55c632.69$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.1139857.5%229 W · 169 L+20.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No79c613.16$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7914315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.24862.5%5 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9453…6952backed Yes26c576.92$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.929250%46 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…02d2backed No73c556.13$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.972369.6%16 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick74cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes21c539.25$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.254153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No67c491.43$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.8717749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3944…6470backed Yes26c488.88$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.776041.7%25 W · 35 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b71…4e79backed Yes31c483.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.87825%2 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes59c460.47$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.26540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34e8…100fbacked No74c448.15$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.63633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes72c381.33$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.2311356.6%64 W · 49 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed No74c370$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.82352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No65c367.55$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.6418644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No74c355.02$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.6642046.4%195 W · 225 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed No74c333.68$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.921729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xfd16…649cbacked Yes28c329.28$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No74c314.45$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.2533047.3%156 W · 174 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes26c300$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22219446.4%90 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86be…4490backed Yes27c300$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2193941%16 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3588…1006backed Yes69c294.56$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes72c278.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.015250%26 W · 26 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba3…6c19backed No66c261$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85ee…9f27backed No27c222.22$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa81d…7447backed Yes70c220.88$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-52.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Yes26c206.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.143036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a4…0c00backed Yes27c203.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a6e…35b4backed Yes26c200$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1489746.4%45 W · 52 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Yes25c193.98$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.4823046.5%107 W · 123 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Yes79c170$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.031233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-52.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed No75c160$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202259.1%13 W · 9 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick75cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No42c148.33$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.8821355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes63c147$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.0748146.4%223 W · 258 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No27c145.31$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5120548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9386…b2b7backed Yes69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.93450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No28c143.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.668547.1%40 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf30a…61fbbacked No38c137.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.632450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0efb…016cbacked No75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes63c129$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1349647.4%235 W · 261 L+2.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes28c127.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.0111447.4%54 W · 60 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c4c…bc84backed Yes79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff38…1d79backed Yes41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes26c120.53$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.194456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91f0…c57abacked No74c120$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.16457.8%37 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.123658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.127751.9%40 W · 37 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.121553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba2…f46bbacked No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.12425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-66.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.125556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No16c119.5$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.127349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d0…ec9abacked Yes27c118.52$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.521526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes62c117$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1763645.1%287 W · 349 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes17c115.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.636921.7%15 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Yes28c113.29$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.571050%5 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033a…586dbacked Yes27c111.11$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.111553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+14.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Yes28c108.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.35052%26 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Yes28c108.75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+44%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Yes28c105.79$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.17955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.16per pick40cpaid+44.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes28c101.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.1611049.1%54 W · 56 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes26c100.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0221450%107 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7138845.6%177 W · 211 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x121f…4765backed Yes35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc856…f642backed No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes27c100$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736442.2%27 W · 37 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e6d…2671backed Yes75c98.94$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Yes35c98.29$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.096844.1%30 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No74c90.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9762452.6%328 W · 296 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed Yes58c88.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1712141.3%50 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No39c87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.612755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e3…242cbacked Yes12c82.95$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.593100%3 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+354.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No70c82$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.064555.6%25 W · 20 L-6.3wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-21.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd5f2…2512backed Yes26c78.95$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.422552%13 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No67c77.48$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9627554.9%151 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc112…d1efbacked Yes26c76.92$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.923228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.