TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-04-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$609,287
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$647,485

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $609,287 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 464 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x07bd…e993backed No50c84,114$42,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42,057.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Yes50c70,000$35,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,0004042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+28.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5db5…1a50backed Yes42c60,000$24,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,997.263324.2%8 W · 25 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No53c39,347$20,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,618.123,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes50c38,958$19,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,642.2333945.7%155 W · 184 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes48c36,519$17,529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,529.2316045%72 W · 88 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes53c30,489$16,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,170.4475142.5%319 W · 432 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Yes50c19,397$9,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,606.064461.4%27 W · 17 L+5.5wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c17,675$8,906 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,768.3769851.9%362 W · 336 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No51c17,145$8,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,401.086465.6%42 W · 22 L+8.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No50c15,083$7,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,541.45450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes44c13,482$5,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,918.0810445.2%47 W · 57 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No52c12,629$6,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,061.7816652.4%87 W · 79 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No49c11,820$5,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,028.16850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2128…da98backed No49c11,744$5,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,989.341241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No50c11,235$5,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,617.51060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+45.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfeaf…a942backed Yes0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked No51c9,800$4,998 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,8021752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes51c8,388$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.6440%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No50c7,098$3,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,548.811,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No50c6,880$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4405549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Yes49c6,796$3,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,329.9770%0 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked No50c6,732$3,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,366475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes50c6,222$3,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,107.560%0 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No59c5,962$3,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.528547.1%40 W · 45 L-8.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a2c…dfe7backed No51c5,850$2,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,874.21346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed No52c5,618$2,895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.85923.7%14 W · 45 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick34cpaid+8.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Yes50c5,400$2,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,700333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Yes50c5,200$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6001241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No50c5,090$2,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5451457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.986058.3%35 W · 25 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c4,946$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,993.6321355.4%118 W · 95 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b6…fa47backed No50c4,924$2,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4621435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No58c4,901$2,839 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.3120548.3%99 W · 106 L-10.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No58c4,821$2,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,016.6218644.1%82 W · 104 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No62c4,608$2,867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,741.281,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes49c4,518$2,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,21434547.5%164 W · 181 L+0.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes49c4,177$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.431729.4%5 W · 12 L-4.4wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-56%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No55c4,129$2,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.51,01344.5%451 W · 562 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes40c3,636$1,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,461.959476.6%72 W · 22 L+16.8wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+49.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe6e8…7c26backed Yes51c3,529$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed No51c3,521$1,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,729.533836.8%14 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed No57c3,063$1,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.627349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes49c3,007$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.433141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x844e…4efdbacked No56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+78.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No46c2,614$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,413.526129.5%18 W · 43 L-7.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc23c…33f1backed Yes49c2,543$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15fb…252dbacked Yes79c2,365$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,864.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes49c2,297$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.3740%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed Yes49c2,270$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.066126.2%16 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-52.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No56c2,119$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.8548141.8%201 W · 280 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004949%24 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02028241.5%117 W · 165 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked No52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.994757.4%27 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaef…b6abbacked No49c1,980$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.8650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc521…b46abacked Yes49c1,934$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.861540%6 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6323…9feebacked Yes48c1,897$910 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$910.471060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes50c1,555$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.744030%12 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No49c1,530$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.37254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No50c1,513$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.1229855.4%165 W · 133 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed No51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7358143.2%35 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed No40c1,482$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.146860.3%41 W · 27 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No54c1,424$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$647.7717749.7%88 W · 89 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes71c1,354$958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$957.5314315.4%22 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Yes48c1,271$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes79c1,261$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$996.271952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No52c1,204$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.22,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3d3…a82bbacked No51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No77c1,100$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2531442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No63c1,054$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.137750.6%39 W · 38 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8682…15a9backed Yes48c1,045$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.21266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No59c1,038$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.115556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No59c1,004$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.378248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4905944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4595…df87backed No59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb988…b6eabacked No21c1,000$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790785.7%6 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.47per pick39cpaid+194.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.4%121 W · 119 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb6e…ba8dbacked Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfab1…4e6cbacked Yes46c999.95$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.98580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No52c999.95$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.9816343.6%71 W · 92 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes44c999.8$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.91450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Yes49c945$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.057443.2%32 W · 42 L-9.2wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-21.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x43fc…9728backed Yes45c934.41$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.36450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No54c927.87$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.874153.7%22 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+26.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed No55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.09757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No14c899.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.215623.2%13 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ace…95a9backed Yes50c886.75$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed Yes43c866.99$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.81540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes12c855.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008932.6%29 W · 60 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4791…07f8backed Yes48c833.33$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400119.1%1 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.28per pick37cpaid-76.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ed8…3affbacked Yes64c784.62$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Yes47c750.55$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.996550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+22.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked No54c731.48$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.994971.4%35 W · 14 L+7.3wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+43.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1455…860fbacked Yes50c720$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No21c714.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.625375.5%40 W · 13 L+10.0wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+41.4%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes40c700$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2801233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes43c697.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006159%36 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14eb…b7f6backed No56c687.14$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-40.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1350…0841backed No51c684.31$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.311566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+36.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked No54c677.52$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.893961.5%24 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+27.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.