Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32605f35b7525d4cdb7f588673d1b868a6f6899442a909f6d2a0ad7b4272684b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,108,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,113,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,108,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 444 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e35…1fe1backed No | 55c | 537,026$293,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243,268.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes | 45c | 152,000$68,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,400 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 119,527$54,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54,213.57 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Yes | 45c | 74,339$33,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,275.54 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Yes | 46c | 61,886$28,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,192.5 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed No | 54c | 60,356$32,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,763.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 53c | 42,500$22,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,975 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 46c | 41,377$18,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,847.85 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 57c | 36,038$20,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,357.9 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 38c | 29,729$11,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,402.88 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 45c | 26,667$12,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,000 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +8.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Yes | 47c | 24,176$11,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,362.35 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 53c | 21,141$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,936.25 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde06…f5bdbacked Yes | 47c | 20,174$9,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,481.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…1725backed Yes | 0c | 19,920$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Yes | 47c | 19,241$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…d749backed No | 53c | 19,015$10,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,937.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183d…1270backed Yes | 48c | 18,640$8,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Yes | 44c | 16,609$7,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Yes | 46c | 13,000$5,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,980 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked No | 55c | 12,091$6,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 11,788$5,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,021.72 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1350…0841backed No | 55c | 11,400$6,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.99 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 47c | 10,685$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.97 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 42c | 9,237$3,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,837.94 | 282 | 41.5%117 W · 165 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e7…1227backed Yes | 45c | 9,201$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…27cfbacked No | 54c | 8,920$4,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,103.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed No | 54c | 8,000$4,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,701.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Yes | 47c | 7,887$3,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,707 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 7,392$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,887.33 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e70…f06fbacked Yes | 47c | 7,056$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 55c | 6,882$3,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,114.51 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Yes | 47c | 6,800$3,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 44c | 6,300$2,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,771.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 45c | 5,483$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,468.13 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked Yes | 46c | 5,167$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes | 18c | 5,140$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 45c | 5,110$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.57 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa624…eb73backed No | 55c | 5,084$2,796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,287.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked No | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 4,920$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 47c | 4,857$2,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,266 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 45c | 4,382$1,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.67 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…79a5backed Yes | 17c | 4,359$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Yes | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,799.99 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Yes | 46c | 3,755$1,727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,727.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d39…c732backed Yes | 46c | 3,691$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,697.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4815…8ba4backed Yes | 22c | 3,182$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes | 46c | 2,777$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,277.42 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 56c | 2,502$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.16 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…1204backed No | 56c | 2,321$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.43 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed No | 55c | 2,184$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.11 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 45c | 2,178$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked No | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 80c | 1,538$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.54 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 29c | 1,347$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.95 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,330$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.08 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 55c | 1,200$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544 | 230 | 46.5%107 W · 123 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 29c | 1,188$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 45c | 1,158$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.68 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 28c | 1,100$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.49 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7335…dd65backed Yes | 46c | 1,093$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 46c | 1,092$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.97 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fcc…e083backed Yes | 46c | 1,080$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.79 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7eb…615bbacked Yes | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…027fbacked Yes | 43c | 1,024$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89db…556bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 163 | 43.6%71 W · 92 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 16c | 999.98$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 24c | 976.26$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 45c | 948.91$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.23 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 44c | 940.91$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4650…f3f0backed Yes | 31c | 931$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.61 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…764ebacked Yes | 26c | 877.81$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 54c | 852$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 830.31$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.78 | 491 | 43.2%212 W · 279 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed No | 54c | 810.13$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.66 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 46c | 792$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.32 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8519…f4e1backed Yes | 28c | 775$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…fc42backed Yes | 44c | 749.23$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.99 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed No | 56c | 747.02$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd0b…c5ffbacked Yes | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 46c | 736.96$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 51c | 719.08$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.47 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked No | 54c | 701.09$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 26c | 700$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked No | 54c | 688.98$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 72c | 663$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.61 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x069b…e8afbacked Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ace…95a9backed Yes | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -17%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 64c | 625.65$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.84 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.