Bundesliga · resolved market
Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6bb57e8c3c08dd7ff7dbf7d94a019e2e2123bec47f91860895343e2d2d6dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Yes | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 4,762$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.35 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xede0…ff11backed No | 50c | 3,998$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ed…459dbacked Yes | 26c | 3,607$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 2,958$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$883.23 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed No | 76c | 2,368$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.41 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 14c | 1,228$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa529…677ebacked No | 80c | 1,080$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.93 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 75c | 1,021$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.19 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…68acbacked Yes | 50c | 1,020$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 24c | 946.41$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.94 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 77c | 826.76$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.3 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 621.67$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.78 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…9583backed No | 78c | 621.36$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 27c | 566$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 26c | 493.66$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.35 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 25c | 470.79$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.27 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 74c | 438.42$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.99 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 19c | 401.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 213 | 55.4%118 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 19c | 383.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 19c | 383.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 19c | 383.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Yes | 19c | 383.63$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 377.74$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1509…ca95backed No | 75c | 377$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…7703backed Yes | 19c | 369.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…1df8backed Yes | 13c | 358.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30dc…9fa0backed No | 71c | 336.06$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 77c | 324.47$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 44c | 288.6$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f6…7bd7backed Yes | 9c | 233.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Yes | 22c | 230.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.39 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…ae53backed No | 50c | 220$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 19c | 219.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…ef64backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 48c | 201.21$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.46 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 167.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.78 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…46e4backed No | 56c | 164.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.48 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 7c | 160$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 49c | 150.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.35 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 51c | 150$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.4 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 26c | 148.1$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.51 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e0…1a3bbacked Yes | 51c | 145.1$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…2a64backed No | 74c | 142.47$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Yes | 19c | 130.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 27c | 129$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.44 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 62c | 119.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b73…174ebacked Yes | 51c | 115.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked No | 61c | 110.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 107.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked No | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…8f90backed Yes | 25c | 103.5$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Yes | 50c | 101.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 75%30 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 57 | 70.2%40 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7409…65a6backed No | 49c | 98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.98 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa843…52e4backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 16c | 90.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 80c | 89.58$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 74c | 89.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 67c | 87.29$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 117 | 62.4%73 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…8f42backed No | 77c | 85.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228c…0fb0backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked No | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 346 | 55.5%192 W · 154 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecd2…38d1backed Yes | 50c | 75.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes | 17c | 74.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Yes | 47c | 71.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 75c | 71.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…5692backed No | 80c | 68.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 75c | 67.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 82 | 52.4%43 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 26c | 64.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…009fbacked Yes | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b85…0721backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes | 22c | 59.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…684dbacked Yes | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked No | 57c | 58.24$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked No | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 47c | 56.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 26c | 50.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +5.8wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…5257backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba2…cb54backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…cc46backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.