Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac09c5526d35483705a2ce0611ef7833a0aecab48b366a4adb814f79b7898aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 54c | 17,917$9,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,699.91 | 751 | 42.5%319 W · 432 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…7736backed Yes | 48c | 8,535$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,408.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 30c | 2,800$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 20c | 2,635$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.44 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 31c | 2,245$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.09 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 2,152$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.93 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5954…7d41backed No | 70c | 1,821$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 30c | 1,667$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.67 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed9…bbd3backed No | 59c | 1,404$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.68 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 47c | 1,373$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.62 | 113 | 56.6%64 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x284d…59f7backed No | 69c | 1,238$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 49c | 1,198$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.26 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed No | 70c | 1,028$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 30c | 948.91$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.2 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 76c | 632.84$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.41 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 73c | 444$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.88 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 58cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 40c | 441.59$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Yes | 60c | 400$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +30%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 55c | 363.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.73 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 58c | 333.97$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.12 | 131 | 39.7%52 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 60c | 332.57$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 496 | 47.4%235 W · 261 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 70c | 330$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86be…4490backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 317.63$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 79c | 279.99$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 253$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.59 | 481 | 46.4%223 W · 258 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 34c | 233.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 34c | 233.03$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.71 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Yes | 34c | 210.26$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.77 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 34c | 209.57$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 203.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.72 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 67c | 195.76$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.65 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 34c | 194.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.45 | 110 | 49.1%54 W · 56 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 60c | 190.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 636 | 45.1%287 W · 349 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 69c | 189.22$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 164.68$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.63 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d73…9d35backed Yes | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…f98fbacked Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 65c | 153.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.01 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed Yes | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 69cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 127.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…7e76backed Yes | 73c | 123.2$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 50c | 117$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 32c | 115.63$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.63 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe867…0905backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed No | 30c | 112.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b80…8b39backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 388 | 45.6%177 W · 211 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…1bf2backed Yes | 31c | 97.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 69c | 96.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.47 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 16c | 90.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 30c | 82.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.7 | 698 | 51.9%362 W · 336 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…b6d7backed Yes | 32c | 81.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee7…4c1abacked No | 13c | 80.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yes | 65c | 80.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 206 | 45.6%94 W · 112 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 48c | 78.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 31c | 75.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.52 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 30c | 68.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.9 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 67.19$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.69 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 32c | 67.19$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd6…e33abacked Yes | 71c | 61.97$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Yes | 30c | 61.16$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x121f…4765backed Yes | 48c | 56.26$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0866…a1d5backed No | 40c | 54.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a05…8573backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 258 | 55.4%143 W · 115 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a24…3845backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 115 | 63.5%73 W · 42 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e76…47fabacked No | 69c | 49.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.75 | 95 | 64.2%61 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 68c | 49.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed No | 47c | 47.46$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 121 | 41.3%50 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked Yes | 71c | 43.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…5159backed Yes | 30c | 41.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 70c | 41.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda1c…197dbacked No | 52c | 38.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…b304backed Yes | 64c | 37.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked Yes | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb3…2eadbacked Yes | 68c | 36.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Yes | 46c | 34.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.78 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed No | 70c | 34.26$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 55c | 31.67$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 550 | 58.7%323 W · 227 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…7e9bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 55c | 30.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -7.2wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 61.6%45 W · 28 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Yes | 70c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0dc…ffadbacked No | 70c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8f…ae52backed Yes | 60c | 28.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 60c | 27.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 121 | 65.3%79 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Yes | 57c | 21.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +7.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf215…ab4dbacked Yes | 69c | 20.27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Yes | 57c | 20.01$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. FC St. Pauli 1910 end in a draw?this page
- Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-04-05?No won
- Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-04-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.