Bundesliga · resolved market
SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0357a97c23a37f731ba562871f2101b8dc2ccb8666bddf43edb37b1dfdb964d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,100
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,857
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,100 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 45c | 326,937$146,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180,245.66 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 56c | 150,000$84,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84,499.92 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 54c | 130,743$70,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,601.22 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Over | 77c | 52,520$40,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,255.24 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 56c | 40,132$22,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,649.05 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Over | 50c | 30,542$15,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,304.04 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 45c | 26,861$12,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,773.61 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c44…5eefbacked Under | 0c | 26,848$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 17,900$10,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,073.34 | 481 | 41.8%201 W · 280 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 55c | 15,000$8,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 13,226$7,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,545.74 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd29…77aebacked Over | 48c | 12,133$5,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,309.3 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Under | 55c | 12,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 55c | 11,947$6,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,590.43 | 166 | 52.4%87 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 7,778$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158.49 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Over | 42c | 6,336$2,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,674.99 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…dd71backed Under | 52c | 6,327$3,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,289.93 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc72d…fc21backed Under | 57c | 5,561$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,169.92 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 55c | 5,555$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.25 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +6.8wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Over | 43c | 5,109$2,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.18 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 41cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d82…3847backed Under | 54c | 4,509$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 57c | 4,265$2,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,436.77 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Over | 51c | 3,811$1,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.36 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 55c | 3,586$1,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,987.11 | 298 | 55.4%165 W · 133 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 59c | 3,530$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,083.04 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 51c | 2,818$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.42 | 185 | 45.9%85 W · 100 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Over | 43c | 2,688$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.11 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 57c | 2,500$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425 | 157 | 47.1%74 W · 83 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4c…39c0backed Under | 3c | 2,400$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Under | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 14c | 1,997$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.73 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Under | 52c | 1,859$971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.35 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…3b71backed Under | 69c | 1,552$1,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 51c | 1,431$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.72 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 60c | 1,255$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 52c | 1,068$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.09 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 54c | 986.5$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.58 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 51c | 959.89$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.14 | 177 | 49.7%88 W · 89 L | -10.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 911.08$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.53 | 222 | 21.6%48 W · 174 L | -34.2wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 30c | 909.98$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.41 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…593abacked Under | 10c | 900$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 13cpaid | +128%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…03b7backed Over | 44c | 870.55$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Under | 55c | 867.18$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.25 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Under | 75c | 854.29$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.23 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 14c | 852.38$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.05 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 794.19$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.83 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 765.92$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.06 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 58c | 753.02$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.31 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6265…0d9fbacked Over | 45c | 750.21$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under | 52c | 744.26$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.27 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x959f…9e2fbacked Under | 68c | 722.51$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.36 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 44c | 716.74$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.84 | 168 | 50%84 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Over | 45c | 696.27$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.61 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8001…c76fbacked Over | 45c | 656.51$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c6…367dbacked Over | 15c | 632.67$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.77 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 54c | 565.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 71c | 555.66$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.97 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…9a5fbacked Under | 58c | 505.64$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.38 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 60c | 503.09$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.38 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c14…68f3backed Under | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…cf07backed Over | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 25cpaid | +326.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…609fbacked Under | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbd…1ec9backed Over | 49c | 465.31$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Under | 8c | 456.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.14 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a89…8e52backed Under | 77c | 448.27$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…0febbacked Under | 55c | 413.67$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.52 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Over | 49c | 410.18$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.19 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafc4…daa1backed Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…fc8abacked Under | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 15cpaid | +99%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 53c | 399.42$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.45 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6496…09d0backed Over | 49c | 395.67$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 47c | 394.66$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.17 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2913…d241backed Over | 45c | 376.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 50c | 370$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 52c | 358.23$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.63 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 352.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.66 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed Under | 78c | 346.61$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.35 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 35c | 342.29$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.81 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 52c | 339.92$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.76 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 43c | 336.91$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.04 | 189 | 58.2%110 W · 79 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…ebeebacked Over | 13c | 327.93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d9…07dcbacked Under | 79c | 320.87$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…800dbacked Over | 48c | 312.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…71a1backed Under | 57c | 310.17$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.08 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fb…ec4fbacked Over | 45c | 301.01$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.63 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Under | 76c | 300.87$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.66 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 13c | 300$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261 | 337 | 37.4%126 W · 211 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe735…4198backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666b…d240backed Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 63c | 285.7$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.15 | 1,305 | 40.8%532 W · 773 L | -42.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 280.72$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.32 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 56c | 269.05$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.86 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8a…02acbacked Under | 52c | 265.84$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.05 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…0019backed Over | 44c | 264.01$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5this page
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 1.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5Over won
- SC Freiburg vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)SC Freiburg won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-1.5)FC Bayern München won
- Spread: SC Freiburg (-2.5)FC Bayern München won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.