TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Manchester City FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,500

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 160 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8372…5223backed Under58c114,655$67,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67,009.066857.4%39 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0d…57abbacked Under56c82,485$46,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,191.51163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over44c73,779$32,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41,316.31758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over46c39,582$18,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,364.676,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Over41c9,891$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,831.215438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Over41c8,888$3,644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,243.911457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f8d…a19bbacked Under45c8,000$3,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,625.19771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over41c7,613$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,487.8310246.1%47 W · 55 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Over44c7,500$3,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2259256.5%52 W · 40 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c6,478$2,845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,633.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over42c5,821$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.4816753.3%89 W · 78 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over42c5,821$2,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,390.4830057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Over41c4,805$1,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,834.881450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over44c4,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,545.453545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Under67c4,478$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004161%25 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e3…d750backed Over41c3,388$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,998.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Under3c2,850$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.495729.8%17 W · 40 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+160.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over41c2,801$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.2675850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Over41c2,276$933 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.86462.5%40 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over43c2,028$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.2235652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over48c1,915$924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.431,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under26c1,912$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.471,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over41c1,829$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.2516757.5%96 W · 71 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Over41c1,760$727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.2811652.6%61 W · 55 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Under58c1,681$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.125851.7%30 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over39c1,665$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.371,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over56c1,500$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66082763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under54c1,290$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.2728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-56%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6a1…9fd5backed Under74c1,262$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.21457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under75c1,067$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8008445.2%38 W · 46 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-8.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over41c1,057$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.5123556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over41c1,056$433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.041,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Over41c1,036$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.515561.8%34 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Over41c1,036$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.512744.4%12 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61010960.6%66 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5609042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7f…657ebacked Under9c931.54$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.871428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over41c930$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.71643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick32cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over36c877.1$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.0711828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Under64c859.38$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55030050.7%152 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c0a…cbc9backed Over45c856.4$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.026142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f14…1e77backed Under60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Over41c748.67$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.729058.9%53 W · 37 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8900…a444backed Over41c738.38$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.643056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Over42c684$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.249857.1%56 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Under57c664.33$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.8513347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over36c648.36$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.351750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over41c607.76$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.5813748.9%67 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Over41c591.31$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.875457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over51c529.6$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.0410751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over41c509.74$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.759752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Under57c500$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2859053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over61c495.85$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8511969.7%83 W · 36 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Under2c477.94$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.78565.4%3 W · 53 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+150.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd28…dbf0backed Under59c458$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.221758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+22%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Under31c449.99$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.498230.5%25 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-29.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under62c419.35$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2608953.9%48 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cf…493bbacked Under61c418.97$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2510874.1%80 W · 28 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over41c395.06$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.2154340.5%220 W · 323 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over41c391$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.2196443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99cd…26f0backed Over41c370.73$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.73450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe757…c161backed Over26c350.33$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.241225%3 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0f…574cbacked Over43c321.47$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.285147.1%24 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over58c312.62$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.36241.9%26 W · 36 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Over41c308.49$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.012951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed Under65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.18per pick50cpaid+28.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over41c306.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.0728859.7%172 W · 116 L+19.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b8f…f31bbacked Over41c306.9$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.071850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Over42c302.35$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.872268.2%15 W · 7 L+5.1wins+0.23per pick45cpaid+52.9%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1650…42f6backed Under19c284.21$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547037.1%26 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Over41c269.1$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.779757.7%56 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over41c261$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.661,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4fc…e772backed Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.96253.2%33 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Over41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.93441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Over43c235.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.1312549.6%62 W · 63 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over42c233.04$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.2780953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f7e…cbbdbacked Under61c231.15$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-48.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under44c227.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over51c209.43$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8320956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Over41c201.83$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.081040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over40c200$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Over41c196.98$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2218358.5%107 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Over41c184.95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.122676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under61c162.87$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.352454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Under74c157$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.181776.5%13 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick76cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9902…34b3backed Under28c153.92$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.519113.2%12 W · 79 L-9.5wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-44.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Over41c146.34$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.344472.7%32 W · 12 L+5.8wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Over41c143.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8910861.1%66 W · 42 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over41c143.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8911055.5%61 W · 49 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d4…18f9backed Over41c143.24$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.511478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick62cpaid+28.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over37c141.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.912,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over41c139.51$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.319154.9%50 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d29…c9eebacked Over43c125.76$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.65060%30 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Over41c125.44$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.014562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e59…cc2ebacked Over40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed Over43c123.26$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.339246.7%43 W · 49 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9510049%49 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Over41c121.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9511164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Under66c116.56$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.277847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.