Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d744d27bdc2448c4a1e4bd4e5bba0a4ff3619ba24313d4adf907ea4ee94b7d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,302,831
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,775,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,302,831 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 43c | 366,039$157,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157,299.46 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed PARIVISION | 57c | 238,440$135,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102,529.18 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 90,075$51,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,752.7 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 55c | 54,539$30,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,368.06 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 42c | 38,610$16,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,116.93 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed PARIVISION | 58c | 18,960$10,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.2 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed PARIVISION | 57c | 18,414$10,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,918.09 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked Aurora | 43c | 16,974$7,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,298.98 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 44c | 15,683$6,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,929.6 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Aurora | 43c | 15,000$6,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,475 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 44c | 14,687$6,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,462.17 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 13,214$6,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,257.88 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Aurora | 39c | 13,000$5,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,119.97 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Aurora | 51c | 10,802$5,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,509.13 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 49c | 10,771$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.79 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 9,637$6,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600.1 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Aurora | 43c | 9,273$3,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,987.42 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Aurora | 37c | 8,985$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.2 | 966 | 45.1%436 W · 530 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 42c | 8,892$3,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,734.8 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 8,608$4,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.01 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Aurora | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked PARIVISION | 60c | 7,931$4,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.62 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked PARIVISION | 57c | 7,154$4,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.52 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 6,443$3,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770.66 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Aurora | 41c | 6,000$2,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,460 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed Aurora | 1c | 5,888$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.21 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Aurora | 44c | 5,717$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,510.03 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 63c | 5,652$3,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.88 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed PARIVISION | 60c | 5,286$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.05 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora | 22c | 5,277$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.5 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 5,000$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked PARIVISION | 62c | 4,999$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.78 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 60c | 4,949$2,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.97 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Aurora | 1c | 4,934$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 62c | 4,896$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.5 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 4,868$2,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,141.92 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 4,693$2,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,018.1 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed PARIVISION | 59c | 4,405$2,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.35 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 4,253$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,562.41 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 4,230$2,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,988.14 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…4119backed PARIVISION | 58c | 4,198$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,765.91 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed PARIVISION | 49c | 4,177$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.49 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PARIVISION | 55c | 4,143$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.06 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 44c | 3,932$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.92 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed PARIVISION | 56c | 3,630$2,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.69 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x802b…7d57backed Aurora | 44c | 3,453$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.22 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…f24abacked PARIVISION | 58c | 3,317$1,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.06 | 503 | 47.1%237 W · 266 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Aurora | 50c | 3,204$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.45 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Aurora | 49c | 3,197$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,566.34 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Aurora | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Aurora | 29c | 2,916$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.27 | 335 | 41.2%138 W · 197 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked PARIVISION | 50c | 2,910$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 44c | 2,889$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.36 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Aurora | 44c | 2,886$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.91 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked PARIVISION | 68c | 2,875$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.59 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,799$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.27 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x930e…38cfbacked Aurora | 1c | 2,750$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 370 | 18.9%70 W · 300 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,494$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.41 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,384$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.95 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,375$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.06 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed PARIVISION | 57c | 2,142$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.99 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed PARIVISION | 58c | 2,110$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.28 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Aurora | 43c | 2,091$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.16 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,996$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.16 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 44c | 1,933$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850.43 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,928$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.93 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed PARIVISION | 69c | 1,919$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.3 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,898$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.7 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed PARIVISION | 61c | 1,768$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.27 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,709$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.92 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 44c | 1,704$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.76 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed PARIVISION | 68c | 1,682$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.81 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23cb…80d0backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,672$953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.02 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed PARIVISION | 55c | 1,668$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.43 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,659$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.96 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,642$936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.05 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed PARIVISION | 64c | 1,559$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.07 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked PARIVISION | 54c | 1,496$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.54 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…26e8backed Aurora | 50c | 1,485$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.2 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed PARIVISION | 59c | 1,467$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.56 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed PARIVISION | 57c | 1,463$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.37 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked PARIVISION | 57c | 1,461$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.36 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked PARIVISION | 58c | 1,455$839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.52 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…ae44backed PARIVISION | 56c | 1,400$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616 | 315 | 47.6%150 W · 165 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked PARIVISION | 71c | 1,360$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.35 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Aurora | 36c | 1,354$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.03 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Aurora | 43c | 1,290$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION | 77c | 1,287$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.73 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 197 | 42.1%83 W · 114 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Aurora | 31c | 1,237$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.96 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed PARIVISION | 65c | 1,230$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.3 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521e…859ebacked Aurora | 9c | 1,215$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Aurora | 47c | 1,186$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.42 | 185 | 44.9%83 W · 102 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed PARIVISION | 58c | 1,183$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.66 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Aurora | 4c | 1,178$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora | 10c | 1,115$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…4a1cbacked PARIVISION | 59c | 1,110$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.35 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1b…e3b3backed Aurora | 44c | 1,098$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.2 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsAurora won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.