Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23d214dd52fd1c6f0979b42069166cfd4ed0f8f6e3de02161ccf1055854208ba
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auroraof PARIVISION, Aurora
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,434,326
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,664,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,434,326 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 650 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed PARIVISION | 52c | 132,878$68,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,951.19 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Aurora | 47c | 73,566$34,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,125.36 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Aurora | 48c | 61,270$29,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,860.44 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…204cbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 56,152$28,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,777.87 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Aurora | 23c | 55,455$12,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,700.35 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 48,584$25,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,652.4 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed PARIVISION | 53c | 33,064$17,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,600.06 | 183 | 51.9%95 W · 88 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked PARIVISION | 36c | 27,911$10,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,185.71 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc156…f76cbacked PARIVISION | 4c | 26,410$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.46 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Aurora | 48c | 23,417$11,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,115.21 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Aurora | 49c | 16,975$8,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,657.16 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Aurora | 40c | 16,095$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,698.44 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed Aurora | 48c | 14,443$6,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,537 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…73eebacked PARIVISION | 0c | 14,101$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 14,054$6,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,385.8 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Aurora | 46c | 12,427$5,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,732.84 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora | 69c | 12,082$8,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,784.98 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Aurora | 50c | 10,984$5,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,454.07 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd408…e85cbacked Aurora | 46c | 10,467$4,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,607.88 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Aurora | 48c | 9,688$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,037.76 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 9,669$4,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,254.32 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 33c | 8,725$2,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,854.85 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed PARIVISION | 9c | 8,715$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.81 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 8,419$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,731.75 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Aurora | 49c | 8,241$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,191.01 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d9…832cbacked PARIVISION | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 419 | 44.2%185 W · 234 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Aurora | 64c | 7,950$5,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,886.69 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Aurora | 46c | 7,698$3,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,164.97 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed PARIVISION | 51c | 7,601$3,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,876.53 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora | 46c | 7,580$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,096.25 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora | 49c | 7,419$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.63 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked PARIVISION | 66c | 6,928$4,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,553.81 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7714…b814backed Aurora | 48c | 6,889$3,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.04 | 241 | 53.1%128 W · 113 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Aurora | 72c | 6,816$4,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,896 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked PARIVISION | 56c | 6,657$3,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,698.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked PARIVISION | 52c | 6,216$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.15 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Aurora | 49c | 6,000$2,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,089.97 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Aurora | 47c | 5,814$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.42 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked PARIVISION | 21c | 5,680$1,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.8 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Aurora | 62c | 5,502$3,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.45 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -7.9wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed PARIVISION | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.97 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 4,635$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.86 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -10.4wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Aurora | 35c | 4,500$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.51 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Aurora | 54c | 4,490$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.27 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed PARIVISION | 76c | 4,400$3,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,343.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked PARIVISION | 54c | 4,296$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.32 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 4,232$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.57 | 106 | 18.9%20 W · 86 L | -14.0wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Aurora | 47c | 4,212$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,232.19 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x568e…6980backed Aurora | 45c | 4,205$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.24 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.28per pick | 42cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed PARIVISION | 20c | 4,096$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.6 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…6b59backed PARIVISION | 54c | 4,064$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180.39 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,973$2,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.76 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked PARIVISION | 48c | 3,871$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,864.13 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59c…4da7backed PARIVISION | 53c | 3,780$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9031…554bbacked Aurora | 57c | 3,743$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.48 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Aurora | 60c | 3,715$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.24 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed PARIVISION | 13c | 3,683$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.45 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Aurora | 49c | 3,628$1,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,838.04 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked PARIVISION | 50c | 3,557$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,778.4 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed PARIVISION | 15c | 3,225$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.55 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked PARIVISION | 55c | 3,193$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Aurora | 46c | 3,136$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,707.82 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…5cb1backed PARIVISION | 19c | 2,942$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.33 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked PARIVISION | 22c | 2,925$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.15 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Aurora | 48c | 2,906$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.33 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 50c | 2,877$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.16 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Aurora | 63c | 2,772$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,036.44 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed PARIVISION | 21c | 2,755$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.14 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked PARIVISION | 45c | 2,742$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.1 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Aurora | 48c | 2,643$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.12 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked PARIVISION | 67c | 2,639$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.34 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed PARIVISION | 22c | 2,550$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.08 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Aurora | 69c | 2,518$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.29 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…ea40backed PARIVISION | 5c | 2,502$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked PARIVISION | 21c | 2,500$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed PARIVISION | 45c | 2,491$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.74 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Aurora | 76c | 2,461$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.41 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed PARIVISION | 17c | 2,449$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.72 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed Aurora | 39c | 2,441$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.66 | 223 | 63.2%141 W · 82 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed Aurora | 48c | 2,429$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.97 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed Aurora | 50c | 2,377$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed PARIVISION | 19c | 2,346$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.79 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…07c3backed Aurora | 63c | 2,294$1,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.2 | 544 | 45.8%249 W · 295 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Aurora | 78c | 2,270$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.21 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed PARIVISION | 44c | 2,215$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.79 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Aurora | 59c | 2,166$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.49 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Aurora | 49c | 2,118$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.29 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed PARIVISION | 56c | 2,092$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.31 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked PARIVISION | 25c | 2,056$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.58 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x115f…e217backed Aurora | 49c | 2,036$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.23 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed PARIVISION | 58c | 2,032$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.45 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c75…1b0dbacked Aurora | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Aurora | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…273dbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 126 | 30.2%38 W · 88 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.95 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff4c…5082backed Aurora | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.42 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7015…c498backed Aurora | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed PARIVISION | 33c | 1,938$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.71 | 259 | 35.5%92 W · 167 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8be…3d54backed Aurora | 48c | 1,915$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.1 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 2 WinnerAurora won
- Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Aurora (+1.5)Aurora won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.