TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Heroicof Heroic, South America Rejects
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$154,691
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$168,035

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,691 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x51d9…8116backed South America Rejects2c10,364$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93f6…4814backed South America Rejects38c10,178$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.181428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf98…735fbacked Heroic58c6,345$3,707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed South America Rejects24c4,950$1,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,18813731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects17c4,188$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.581029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Heroic36c3,957$1,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,520.7396357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects34c2,827$972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.862,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects34c2,778$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.171,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic59c2,728$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.8233549.9%167 W · 168 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked Heroic38c2,534$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,570.884238.1%16 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed South America Rejects31c2,435$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$763.8346451.5%239 W · 225 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects24c2,258$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.8151140.3%206 W · 305 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7cb…4088backed South America Rejects47c2,249$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.973847.4%18 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5615…3199backed Heroic43c1,999$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.91850%9 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects8c1,995$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8147046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects35c1,992$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.531,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Heroic75c1,980$1,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.677550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked South America Rejects43c1,845$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798.3499844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects38c1,804$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.3267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x288b…a713backed Heroic78c1,647$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.821163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed South America Rejects58c1,544$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$896.11475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Heroic58c1,289$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.6516945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked South America Rejects55c1,079$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.6389749.6%445 W · 452 L+22.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93af…32abbacked South America Rejects37c1,032$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.3210751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked South America Rejects34c988.11$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.467935.4%28 W · 51 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-6.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked South America Rejects24c902.91$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.7120727.5%57 W · 150 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x899e…0863backed Heroic63c895.57$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.8226454.5%144 W · 120 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5051…82a6backed South America Rejects11c793.94$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3120452.5%107 W · 97 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Heroic59c760.12$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.9196245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects38c650.11$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.0655251.6%285 W · 267 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd83…7d7cbacked South America Rejects26c641.39$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.5914747.6%70 W · 77 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea4b…9531backed Heroic66c578.51$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.41560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked South America Rejects56c566.12$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.4826956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects32c500$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601,24744.4%554 W · 693 L+17.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects42c493.26$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.671,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked South America Rejects54c485.56$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.4591756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic61c470.14$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.881,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed South America Rejects45c455.96$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.6447450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked South America Rejects43c431.88$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.2977256.5%436 W · 336 L+30.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked Heroic63c398.12$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.5943049.1%211 W · 219 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Heroic69c363.05$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.6886659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed South America Rejects27c354.15$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.628420.2%17 W · 67 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf483…3f62backed Heroic41c331.05$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.611150.5%56 W · 55 L+14.2wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+27.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Heroic66c305.05$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.7336138.2%138 W · 223 L-20.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99f7…e7c8backed Heroic65c293.81$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.913100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+89%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects41c292.98$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3360251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic75c292.07$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.5790756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects33c290.86$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9836654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked South America Rejects42c289.54$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3212642.1%53 W · 73 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fbc…62a3backed South America Rejects66c250$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.51457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08cf…22b9backed Heroic75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.553758.8%316 W · 221 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfea6…53acbacked South America Rejects24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-59.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0ae9…a6d5backed South America Rejects43c245.86$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.72540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-46%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1501…a163backed Heroic69c243.2$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.392564%16 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed South America Rejects55c235.27$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3268649.7%341 W · 345 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects40c234.22$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.561,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed South America Rejects49c230.34$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ffb…f7f0backed South America Rejects37c228.33$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6251550.9%262 W · 253 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects45c222.28$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.421,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8027…cf81backed South America Rejects35c217.74$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3413152.7%69 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked South America Rejects34c200.63$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.2420954.5%114 W · 95 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed South America Rejects18c199.54$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2133644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed South America Rejects33c191.96$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3523938.5%92 W · 147 L-18.2wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Heroic40c179.17$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2730647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic61c173.28$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.581,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects57c172.05$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.418954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed South America Rejects35c164.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.665166.7%34 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed South America Rejects52c159.62$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.3657654.5%314 W · 262 L+29.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x081f…d5c0backed Heroic64c151.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.87450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d77…b6f4backed Heroic64c151.74$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.872343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed South America Rejects26c149.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3425248.8%123 W · 129 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29f5…fb4abacked Heroic66c148.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e0b…4dd5backed Heroic48c148.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.438641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-18.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22d6…b7b5backed Heroic67c146.17$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.153342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x21a5…aaadbacked South America Rejects52c145.68$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.71540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed Heroic37c144.33$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9696942.8%415 W · 554 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects38c140.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1450449.2%248 W · 256 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b12…a752backed Heroic64c135.45$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.762100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+113.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic62c133.1$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2152649.2%259 W · 267 L+21.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca06…1394backed Heroic46c131.32$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Heroic41c130.01$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5316232.7%53 W · 109 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects49c121.77$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.411,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1863…6174backed Heroic61c118.71$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0330260.3%182 W · 120 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed South America Rejects37c117.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4425850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8afa…28f0backed South America Rejects37c117.41$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.4425149%123 W · 128 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Heroic58c117.26$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7746664.2%299 W · 167 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0b5…a0d7backed South America Rejects36c109.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3918042.8%77 W · 103 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Heroic70c106.54$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1620156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic68c106.37$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.3273554.7%402 W · 333 L-3.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdd2c…f823backed South America Rejects43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20c5…7452backed Heroic65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked South America Rejects30c95.78$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3510560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d27…bd5abacked Heroic55c88.59$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9546872.2%338 W · 130 L+36.5wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+11.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed Heroic56c86.63$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.941346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed South America Rejects17c82.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.225724.6%14 W · 43 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe748…bc49backed South America Rejects16c80.42$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.968164.2%52 W · 29 L+7.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ec8…80f2backed South America Rejects32c80$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects35c77.7$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2897…b9d8backed South America Rejects58c77.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.521457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked South America Rejects64c75.57$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.441952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.