Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269dd3c999bd0e246bc1de38d39501a334ea594bc9d5cd1fb1496cad96701626
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heroicof Heroic, South America Rejects
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 146 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51d9…8116backed South America Rejects | 2c | 10,364$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f6…4814backed South America Rejects | 38c | 10,178$3,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.18 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf98…735fbacked Heroic | 58c | 6,345$3,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,637.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed South America Rejects | 24c | 4,950$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed South America Rejects | 17c | 4,188$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.5 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 36c | 3,957$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.73 | 963 | 57.3%552 W · 411 L | +48.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects | 34c | 2,827$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed South America Rejects | 34c | 2,778$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.17 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Heroic | 59c | 2,728$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.82 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…9c0abacked Heroic | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.88 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed South America Rejects | 31c | 2,435$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.83 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed South America Rejects | 24c | 2,258$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.81 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…4088backed South America Rejects | 47c | 2,249$1,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.97 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5615…3199backed Heroic | 43c | 1,999$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects | 8c | 1,995$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.81 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed South America Rejects | 35c | 1,992$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.53 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Heroic | 75c | 1,980$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.67 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 1,845$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.34 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 1,804$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.32 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed Heroic | 78c | 1,647$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.82 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed South America Rejects | 58c | 1,544$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Heroic | 58c | 1,289$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.65 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked South America Rejects | 55c | 1,079$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.63 | 897 | 49.6%445 W · 452 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked South America Rejects | 37c | 1,032$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.32 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 988.11$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.46 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked South America Rejects | 24c | 902.91$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.71 | 207 | 27.5%57 W · 150 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Heroic | 63c | 895.57$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.82 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed South America Rejects | 11c | 793.94$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.31 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Heroic | 59c | 760.12$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.91 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked South America Rejects | 38c | 650.11$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked South America Rejects | 26c | 641.39$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed Heroic | 66c | 578.51$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked South America Rejects | 56c | 566.12$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.48 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed South America Rejects | 32c | 500$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,247 | 44.4%554 W · 693 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects | 42c | 493.26$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.67 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked South America Rejects | 54c | 485.56$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.45 | 917 | 56.5%518 W · 399 L | +79.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Heroic | 61c | 470.14$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.88 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed South America Rejects | 45c | 455.96$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.64 | 474 | 50.8%241 W · 233 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked South America Rejects | 43c | 431.88$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.29 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Heroic | 63c | 398.12$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.59 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Heroic | 69c | 363.05$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc6…9092backed South America Rejects | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 84 | 20.2%17 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Heroic | 41c | 331.05$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.6 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +14.2wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Heroic | 66c | 305.05$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.73 | 361 | 38.2%138 W · 223 L | -20.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Heroic | 65c | 293.81$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +89%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects | 41c | 292.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Heroic | 75c | 292.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.57 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects | 33c | 290.86$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked South America Rejects | 42c | 289.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.32 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed South America Rejects | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Heroic | 75c | 250$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…53acbacked South America Rejects | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…a6d5backed South America Rejects | 43c | 245.86$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1501…a163backed Heroic | 69c | 243.2$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.39 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed South America Rejects | 55c | 235.27$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.32 | 686 | 49.7%341 W · 345 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked South America Rejects | 40c | 234.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4f…6e10backed South America Rejects | 49c | 230.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed South America Rejects | 37c | 228.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.62 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked South America Rejects | 45c | 222.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.42 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8027…cf81backed South America Rejects | 35c | 217.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.34 | 131 | 52.7%69 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked South America Rejects | 34c | 200.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed South America Rejects | 18c | 199.54$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed South America Rejects | 33c | 191.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -18.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Heroic | 40c | 179.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.27 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Heroic | 61c | 173.28$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.58 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects | 57c | 172.05$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.4 | 189 | 54%102 W · 87 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed South America Rejects | 35c | 164.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed South America Rejects | 52c | 159.62$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.36 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081f…d5c0backed Heroic | 64c | 151.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…b6f4backed Heroic | 64c | 151.74$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed South America Rejects | 26c | 149.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f5…fb4abacked Heroic | 66c | 148.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…4dd5backed Heroic | 48c | 148.13$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.43 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22d6…b7b5backed Heroic | 67c | 146.17$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21a5…aaadbacked South America Rejects | 52c | 145.68$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Heroic | 37c | 144.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.96 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed South America Rejects | 38c | 140.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.14 | 504 | 49.2%248 W · 256 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…a752backed Heroic | 64c | 135.45$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +113.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Heroic | 62c | 133.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.21 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…1394backed Heroic | 46c | 131.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +118.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Heroic | 41c | 130.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.53 | 162 | 32.7%53 W · 109 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects | 49c | 121.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.41 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1863…6174backed Heroic | 61c | 118.71$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 302 | 60.3%182 W · 120 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed South America Rejects | 37c | 117.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 258 | 50.4%130 W · 128 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed South America Rejects | 37c | 117.41$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Heroic | 58c | 117.26$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.77 | 466 | 64.2%299 W · 167 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed South America Rejects | 36c | 109.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 180 | 42.8%77 W · 103 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Heroic | 70c | 106.54$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Heroic | 68c | 106.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2c…f823backed South America Rejects | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c5…7452backed Heroic | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked South America Rejects | 30c | 95.78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…bd5abacked Heroic | 55c | 88.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 468 | 72.2%338 W · 130 L | +36.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Heroic | 56c | 86.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.94 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9368…8b01backed South America Rejects | 17c | 82.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed South America Rejects | 16c | 80.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…80f2backed South America Rejects | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects | 35c | 77.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…b9d8backed South America Rejects | 58c | 77.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.52 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked South America Rejects | 64c | 75.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects (BO5) - DreamLeague South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 1 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 2 WinnerHeroic won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 3 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs South America Rejects - Game 4 WinnerSouth America Rejects won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.