Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4205148d6a79219df7359987bd70a2aea8148441e53862076e6f3c5295ab45b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Resilience, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,243
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,243 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Resilience | 45c | 7,332$3,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.47 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Resilience | 14c | 5,785$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.59 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 5,337$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,477.6 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Resilience | 55c | 5,150$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 4,844$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.87 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 3,524$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,528.01 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 2,388$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.88 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 26c | 2,110$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.45 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da2…8c2bbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 1,619$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.79 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Vici Gaming | 73c | 1,330$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.82 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 1,243$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.43 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Resilience | 22c | 1,196$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.94 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…150bbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 985.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 592 | 54.1%320 W · 272 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Resilience | 14c | 927.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 906.51$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.37 | 83 | 28.9%24 W · 59 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Team Resilience | 35c | 862$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 577 | 35%202 W · 375 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 810.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.93 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 726.49$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.49 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Resilience | 48c | 705$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.25 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cca…c501backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 629.99$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf7…6d62backed Team Resilience | 44c | 600$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Team Resilience | 49c | 599.99$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.99 | 233 | 47.2%110 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked Team Resilience | 43c | 592.13$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 381 | 67.2%256 W · 125 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Resilience | 11c | 522.87$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.52 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Resilience | 16c | 521.25$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…641bbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 519.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4350…4bbabacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 501.86$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.66 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Resilience | 14c | 500$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45ef…6d66backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.99 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 23c | 462.51$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.01 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Team Resilience | 65c | 461.54$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…ce01backed Team Resilience | 40c | 437.05$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 37c | 435.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.47 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team Resilience | 25c | 396.18$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Resilience | 41c | 377.02$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.24 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 376.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.94 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed Team Resilience | 35c | 371.43$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 145 | 62.1%90 W · 55 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Vici Gaming | 80c | 360.1$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.02 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 351.81$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.35 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 336.73$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.37 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 326.05$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.25 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf52e…54fcbacked Team Resilience | 14c | 324.78$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c9…dfeabacked Team Resilience | 46c | 321.74$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02e9…443bbacked Team Resilience | 36c | 312.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.51 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Resilience | 67c | 299.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Vici Gaming | 31c | 292.75$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Team Resilience | 10c | 290.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…a713backed Team Resilience | 8c | 273.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Team Resilience | 38c | 266.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Team Resilience | 29c | 224.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Team Resilience | 46c | 223.98$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Vici Gaming | 45c | 220.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.8 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84a…702dbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 220.6$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.6 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Team Resilience | 16c | 217.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Resilience | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 675 | 55%371 W · 304 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 106 | 59.4%63 W · 43 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb09a…7fc7backed Team Resilience | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 49c | 178.76$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…8d3dbacked Vici Gaming | 79c | 177.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 175.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Resilience | 38c | 174.66$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Vici Gaming | 39c | 166$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…19a4backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 165.5$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.54 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -9.6wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 164.96$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.96 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Resilience | 31c | 160.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57ba…d369backed Team Resilience | 64c | 156$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 153.4$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.1 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Resilience | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Resilience | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x730e…fca0backed Team Resilience | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Resilience | 15c | 149.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f0…3068backed Team Resilience | 47c | 146.06$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Vici Gaming | 72c | 143.87$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 142.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…17bdbacked Vici Gaming | 36c | 140$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Resilience | 37c | 139.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb308…23a6backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 139.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.52 | 169 | 39.6%67 W · 102 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa838…5d04backed Vici Gaming | 37c | 135.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.43 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 129$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 123.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 39c | 121.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked Team Resilience | 19c | 112$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Resilience | 36c | 109.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Team Resilience | 11c | 103.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d6…8267backed Team Resilience | 47c | 102.91$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Resilience | 43c | 101.68$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Vici Gaming | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 183 | 47%86 W · 97 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…2071backed Vici Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Vici Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Resilience | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…7caebacked Team Resilience | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ca3backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 408 | 44.1%180 W · 228 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Team Resilience | 43c | 83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.69 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Vici Gaming | 78c | 81.84$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.16 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e248backed Team Resilience | 37c | 80.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.