Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e9d7bee374b238ac1eb5faf86f21b2b19332380cbfb69c2565a2db4e98c30b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Resilience, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $78,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 50c | 10,492$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292.08 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 8,842$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.26 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Team Resilience | 48c | 8,294$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 6,637$3,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,154.64 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Team Resilience | 45c | 3,198$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.89 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Team Resilience | 47c | 3,007$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,412.74 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Resilience | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.99 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Resilience | 48c | 2,065$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Team Resilience | 24c | 1,717$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Team Resilience | 50c | 1,543$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.02 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…40dfbacked Team Resilience | 58c | 1,538$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.24 | 107 | 51.4%55 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf93…0d84backed Team Resilience | 59c | 1,521$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.48 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Vici Gaming | 53c | 1,446$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.8 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Resilience | 36c | 1,264$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.58 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 1,223$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Team Resilience | 47c | 1,125$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.97 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Vici Gaming | 41c | 1,090$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.39 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 1,010$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.1 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 999.99$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.06 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 996$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 812.86$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.73 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Resilience | 23c | 799.17$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team Resilience | 38c | 764$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.78 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team Resilience | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Vici Gaming | 48c | 694.87$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.33 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1568…c958backed Team Resilience | 53c | 681.51$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.89 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Resilience | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 587.86$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Resilience | 9c | 550$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 49c | 531.59$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.48 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Team Resilience | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Vici Gaming | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Resilience | 50c | 450$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.5 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Resilience | 10c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1816…2ee6backed Team Resilience | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 375 | 49.3%185 W · 190 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1d…4c70backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 334.18$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.55 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Team Resilience | 49c | 323.02$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.6 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Resilience | 10c | 313.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Resilience | 53c | 226.2$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Resilience | 23c | 219.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1720…747fbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 214.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe705…f910backed Team Resilience | 51c | 201.98$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.01 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Resilience | 11c | 194.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 184.08$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…d03fbacked Team Resilience | 51c | 165$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.15 | 179 | 65.4%117 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Vici Gaming | 67c | 156.24$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Resilience | 47c | 150.82$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Resilience | 41c | 150.66$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 130.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Resilience | 19c | 128.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Team Resilience | 57c | 120$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Resilience | 53c | 118.69$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Vici Gaming | 53c | 117.35$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Team Resilience | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Vici Gaming | 74c | 109.68$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.53 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Resilience | 21c | 106.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 105.16$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…b2eebacked Team Resilience | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Resilience | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…9867backed Team Resilience | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 925 | 61.2%566 W · 359 L | +53.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Team Resilience | 24c | 95.59$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 252 | 53.2%134 W · 118 L | +20.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Resilience | 49c | 81.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Vici Gaming | 48c | 80$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 73.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 63.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Team Resilience | 51c | 59.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Vici Gaming | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef87…e248backed Team Resilience | 52c | 38.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Team Resilience | 56c | 35.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 374 | 56.4%211 W · 163 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Resilience | 62c | 35.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 537 | 57.7%310 W · 227 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…a5edbacked Vici Gaming | 40c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 406 | 44.6%181 W · 225 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 31.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…e4a4backed Team Resilience | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16e…c43ebacked Vici Gaming | 76c | 26.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 24.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2295…8f0fbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 330 | 48.8%161 W · 169 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…7102backed Team Resilience | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d3…c0d1backed Team Resilience | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.