Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269cf139a43eca5e862023e9c372de3445c9d3273fd13e2686176f159deb32a2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vici Gamingof Team Resilience, Vici Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $170,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Team Resilience | 41c | 14,276$5,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,896.63 | 400 | 51.5%206 W · 194 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfc…ce53backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 10,975$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,689.68 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 9,507$5,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,163.52 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Team Resilience | 44c | 6,666$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.04 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 6,164$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,704 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Vici Gaming | 56c | 5,619$3,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,479.2 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25c5…0031backed Team Resilience | 1c | 5,100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 89 | 18%16 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Resilience | 45c | 4,868$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205.09 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 4,678$2,648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,029.41 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a0…6f8bbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 4,664$2,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,143 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Team Resilience | 51c | 4,297$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd537…0f7cbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 3,504$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.85 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Vici Gaming | 65c | 3,257$2,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.02 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0b…b5febacked Team Resilience | 47c | 3,137$1,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 2,640$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.39 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Team Resilience | 40c | 2,510$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Resilience | 41c | 2,448$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.75 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed Team Resilience | 51c | 2,172$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 2,056$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.17 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0a…07c7backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 1,765$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.71 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a85…ff94backed Team Resilience | 27c | 1,498$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Vici Gaming | 59c | 1,342$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.18 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 1,336$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.2 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c01…e7d0backed Team Resilience | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.89 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team Resilience | 43c | 1,160$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.8 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…44fbbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 1,156$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.81 | 169 | 54.4%92 W · 77 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 1,100$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.87 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 1,092$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.96 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Team Resilience | 45c | 999.99$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 494 | 55.1%272 W · 222 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Team Resilience | 32c | 966.06$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.77 | 476 | 50.8%242 W · 234 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…a46bbacked Vici Gaming | 69c | 939.96$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.67 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Resilience | 34c | 929.96$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 908.97$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.89 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Resilience | 45c | 824.5$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed Team Resilience | 44c | 817.17$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked Team Resilience | 50c | 800$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.02 | 552 | 51.6%285 W · 267 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Team Resilience | 38c | 786.72$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.95 | 658 | 63.1%415 W · 243 L | +17.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Vici Gaming | 70c | 782.6$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Resilience | 39c | 666.01$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.94 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 632.79$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.41 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 610.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.81 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Resilience | 31c | 555.95$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.03 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Vici Gaming | 52c | 548$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.04 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 535.25$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Vici Gaming | 57c | 528.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.59 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Resilience | 40c | 527.46$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Resilience | 48c | 524.27$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team Resilience | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 495.4$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.17 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe843…0699backed Team Resilience | 29c | 464.98$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.79 | 111 | 31.5%35 W · 76 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Resilience | 5c | 450.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Resilience | 43c | 434.27$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.22 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Vici Gaming | 75c | 398.2$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed Vici Gaming | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Vici Gaming | 55c | 370$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…a67bbacked Vici Gaming | 59c | 331.8$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3304…8313backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 322.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…844fbacked Team Resilience | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Resilience | 48c | 313.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea8…0412backed Team Resilience | 49c | 308.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vici Gaming | 64c | 300.03$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.53 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb25e…39aabacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 300$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Vici Gaming | 63c | 273.98$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa516…235cbacked Team Resilience | 45c | 249.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.49 | 306 | 43.5%133 W · 173 L | -22.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Vici Gaming | 52c | 237.79$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.14 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x009b…26dabacked Vici Gaming | 55c | 227.27$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.27 | 211 | 44.1%93 W · 118 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team Resilience | 44c | 227.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94f1…b9e7backed Team Resilience | 46c | 215$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 459 | 51.9%238 W · 221 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…da60backed Team Resilience | 48c | 209.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe34e…c0f4backed Vici Gaming | 64c | 209$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.09 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3216…0cc7backed Team Resilience | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed Team Resilience | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +5.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8031…67e0backed Team Resilience | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 737 | 43.6%321 W · 416 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 200$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 162 | 50%81 W · 81 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Vici Gaming | 51c | 189$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.61 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…f0dbbacked Vici Gaming | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 149 | 56.4%84 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Vici Gaming | 69c | 165.81$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 201 | 45.3%91 W · 110 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Vici Gaming | 57c | 165.12$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.8 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Vici Gaming | 61c | 155.45$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.13 | 670 | 43.3%290 W · 380 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Team Resilience | 48c | 153.25$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.82 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Resilience | 45c | 150$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Resilience | 39c | 136.8$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6787…6044backed Vici Gaming | 58c | 129.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.93 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked Vici Gaming | 50c | 120.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Vici Gaming | 62c | 119.9$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.56 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Vici Gaming | 68c | 111.37$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 502 | 47.6%239 W · 263 L | +31.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Team Resilience | 47c | 107.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +13.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Team Resilience | 40c | 104.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.62 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Vici Gaming | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x312f…913cbacked Team Resilience | 43c | 97.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Vici Gaming | 70c | 91$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Resilience | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…4f6bbacked Vici Gaming | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Vici Gaming | 67c | 87.63$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4471…3f7bbacked Team Resilience | 41c | 84.95$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Resilience | 44c | 82.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.12 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Vici Gaming | 61c | 82.58$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Team Resilience | 43c | 81.88$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 735 | 54.7%402 W · 333 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Resilience | 42c | 81.79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming (BO5) - ACL X ESL Challenger China PlayoffsVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam Resilience won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 WinnerVici Gaming won
- Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 3 WinnerVici Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.